Super Bowl 47 MVP Odds

The 2012-13 NFL season comes to a close on Sunday with the Baltimore Ravens and the San Francisco 49ers squaring off against each other in the Super Bowl. Take a look at the Super Bowl 47 MVP betting lines and our predictions for which players have the best value to take home the honor.


Bet at 5dimes
Super Bowl 47 MVP Odds
Colin Kaepernick +125
Joe Flacco +280
Frank Gore +850
Ray Lewis +900
Ray Rice +1100
Michael Crabtree +1600
Anquan Boldin +2000
Vernon Davis +2300
Torrey Smith +2300
Alex Smith +3000
Randy Moss +4300
Ed Reed +4500
Aldon Smith +7000
LaMichael James +7300
Terrell Suggs +7500
Jacoby Jones +8500
Dennis Pitta +9500
Bernard Pierce +11500
Ted Ginn Jr. +12000
Justin Smith +15000
Bernard Pollard +15000
Ahmad Brooks +16000
Navarro Bowman +17500
Vonta Leach +20000
Haloti Ngata +20000
Paul Kruger +20000
Ed Dickson +21500
Dashon Golson +25000
Tandon Doss +30000
Delanie Walker +30000
Bruce Miller +45000

Of course, the Super Bowl MVP is virtually always the winning quarterback, and that’s why QB Colin Kaepernick is the favorite at +125. We know that this dynamic quarterback is going to be able to get the job done with his arm and his legs, and anything less than 300 total yards of offense and three or more TDs would almost seem like a disappointment. On the other side, QB Joe Flacco makes the most sense for the Ravens, though we know that he isn’t always the featured man in this offense.

The next logical men to turn to are the two running backs. However, a running back hasn’t won the Super Bowl MVP award since 1998 when RB Terrell Davis won it for the Denver Broncos. Both of these teams have pretty solid rush defenses, and we really don’t see how either RB Ray Rice or RB Frank Gore is going to get loose for all that many yards. There is a chance that both could pillage two touchdowns and steal the award that way, but unless one of these men gets to 100+ yards, it’s going to be tough to justify giving either the MVP award.

Three wide receivers have won the Super Bowl MVP award since Super Bowl XXXIX, and we think that there is a decent chance that WR Michael Crabtree and WR Torrey Smith could be the men that are up for the award. Smith is a total boom or bust player, and he either seems to get behind defenses all day long and make four or five big time plays, or he is totally non-existent. Crabtree has had a great rapport with Kaepernick over the course of the last two months, and there is no reason to think that he won’t have at least five catches in this game.

And then there are the players that are more or less off the board. In the past, we have seen men like DB Dexter Jackson, LB Ray Lewis, KR Desmond Howard, and DB Larry Brown win the award. Picking a Super Bowl MVP on defense is insanely difficult to do. The man that makes the most sense is S Ed Reed, who is probably going to be shadowing Crabtree with help over the top all game long. Lewis, in spite of the fact that he has won an MVP award before, clearly should be more along the lines of 30 to 1 or 40 to 1 than 9 to 1 and isn’t worth the price.

We could go a bit off the board though, and take either WR Jacoby Jones or RB LaMichael James. James is an interesting choice, knowing that he is the change of pace back that will get his 5-7 touches on offense and a few on special teams as well. He’s a game changing back, and that will serve him well in this game. It’s a long shot, but at 73 to 1, James is clearly worth a look. Jones can impact the game both offensively and on special teams as well. He is the primary kick and punt returner for the team, and he has emerged as a deep passing threat for most of the season. Jones had that 70-yard touchdown grab from Flacco that setup overtime against the Denver Broncos just a few weeks ago. He won’t exactly have a 7/120/2 stat line, but there’s at least a plausible chance for Jones to have 200 all-purpose yards and a special teams touchdown, enough to make us want to at least think about backing him at 85 to 1 to win the Super Bowl MVP award.

Aaron Ryan

Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.