Super Bowl Betting Trends
The Super Bowl is coming closer and closer every single day, and here at Bang the Book, we’re taking a look at some of the historical Super Bowl trends that need to be pointed out before you bet on the big game!
We’ll start with the big game itself. Over the course of the last five seasons, the team that was the underdog actually won the game outright. Pups are 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS over the course of the last five Super Bowls. Overall, favorite and underdogs are very closely split over the course of the 46 previous title games. Favorites are 33-13 SU and a very respectable 24-20-2 ATS.
What’s not so split is the fact is the dividing line between the AFC and the NFC. NFC teams have won three Super Bowls in a row and have covered five straight. NFC squads are also 8-2 ATS since the Tampa Bay Buccaneers lifted the Lombardi Trophy 10 years ago. However, even dating all the way back to 1967, NFC teams only are 25-19-2 ATS.
The Ravens have only played in one Super Bowl in their history, and they beat up the New York Giants in Super Bowl XXXV 34-7 in one of the uglier games that has ever been played at this level. San Francisco has been in the big one five times, going a perfect 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS. However, the last time the Niners played in the Super Bowl was back in 1995 against the San Diego Chargers.
Since that point. NFC West teams have been in the Super Bowl four times. The Arizona Cardinals, Seattle Seahawks, and St. Louis Rams have combined to go 1-3 SU and 1-2-1 ATS. AFC North teams don’t have a heck of a lot of history at this level. The Cleveland Browns have never played in the Super Bowl, and the Cincinnati Bengals haven’t been here since 1989. The Pittsburgh Steelers are 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS in the two games since the Ravens played in the Super Bowl in 2001.
Another interesting trend to note… The Ravens had to play in three playoff games prior to the Super Bowl, while San Francisco has only had to play in two. Five of the last seven Super Bowl winners had to play in the Wild Card round, and the last time a team that didn’t play in the Wild Card round beat a team that did in the Super Bowl was the Steelers over the Cardinals in 2009. Even then, the Cards covered the +7 spread in that game. Prior to that, the No. 3 Indianapolis Colts beat the No. 1 Chicago Bears in Super Bowl XLI and covered the spread.
In regards to ‘total’ betting, matters have been relatively split of late. The two New York Giants vs. New England Patriots Super Bowls both soared ‘under’ the ‘total’, as did the New Orleans Saints/Indianapolis Colts game. However, the last two times the Super Bowl featured a ‘total’ less than 50, it eclipsed the number relatively easily. Of course, the last time a Super Bowl with a ‘total’ above 47 made it past the ‘total’ was back in 1999 when the Denver Broncos and Atlanta Falcons got there by a hook. The ‘total’ in this game is set at 47.5.
San Francisco is 3-2 for ‘over’ bettors in its five trips to the Super Bowl. The Ravens covered the ‘over’ by themselves against the Giants in Super Bowl XXXV.