January 24, 2013

Super Bowl XLVII Pick: Baltimore Ravens vs. San Francisco 49ers

SuperBowl Pick

Preview


Baltimore Ravens
vs.
San Francisco 49ers

Date/Time: Sunday, Feb.3 6:30 p.m. (ET)

Television: CBS

NFL Odds from VietBet

Point Spread: San Francisco -3.5

Total: 47.5

 

NFL Betting Game Trends

Baltimore Ravens

  • Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 6 games when playing San Francisco
  • Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

San Francisco 49ers

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 6 games when playing Baltimore
  • San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco’s last 5 games
  • San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
  • San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

 

Game Overview

Most bettors left Baltimore for dead heading into the playoffs after it finished the regular season 1-4 both straight-up and against the spread in its final five games. After grinding out a 24-9 victory over Indianapolis as a 7.5-point home favorite, the magic really began with a stunning 38-35 overtime win over Denver as a 9.5-point road underdog followed by a 28-13 drubbing of New England as an eight-point underdog on the road. This 3-0 run both SU and ATS has the betting public back on the Ravens’ bandwagon in a big way.

If they are going to make good on completing this improbable run with one more win, it will be up to Joe Flacco and the offense to continue to find ways to make big plays while effectively running the ball on the ground. Flacco has thrown for 853 yards and eight touchdowns during this three-game run, but Ray Rice has been able to average close to four yards a carry while adding another 247 yards on the ground. Bernard Pierce has been a pleasant surprise with 169 yards rushing on just 27 carries and Anquan Boldin has been unstoppable with 16 receptions for 247 yards and three TD’s.

The 49ers took the shorter route to this game as No.2 seeds in the NFC, but have been equally impressive with a lopsided 45-31 victory over Green Bay as three-point home favorites in the Divisional Round and a 28-24 come-from-behind win over Atlanta as 3.5-point favorites on the road in the conference title game. The total went OVER in both those games and has now gone OVER in San Francisco’s last six games.

The shining star in the 49ers run to the Super Bowl has been second-year quarterback Colin Kaepernick. After replacing Alex Smith as starter midway through the regular season, he came into his own with a ridiculous performance against the Packers. Not only did he throw for 263 yards and one touchdown, he set a new NFL single-game rushing record for quarterbacks with 181 yards on the ground. While his numbers against the Falcons were not nearly as gaudy, he made the plays when he had to in order to turn a 17-point deficit into a four-point win.

Prediction

The subplots in this matchup run deep with Ravens’ linebacker Ray Lewis playing his last NFL game and the Harbaugh brothers squaring off against each other in a battle of coaching wits. While the early money and public sentiment is firmly in Baltimore’s corner, stick with Jim to outduel his older brother John to get the SU win. That being said, stick with the Ravens and the 3.5 points in what should be a battle to the bitter end.

San Francisco 27 Baltimore 24

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Dave Schwab

DJ is a freelance writer that concentrates on his true passion in life; the world of sports. He produces a number of articles each week for BangTheBook.com as well as a select group of other websites that specialize in providing the most up-to-date information for the sports gaming industry. His goal is to write insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player.

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