July 29, 2012

TBS Sunday Baseball Pick: Washington @ Milwaukee

MLB Picks

Preview


Washington Nationals
vs.
Milwaukee Brewers

Starting Pitchers: Gonzalez (Nationals) vs. Rogers (Brewers)

Date/Time: July 29th, 2:10 P.M. EST

Television: TBS

MLB Odds from VietBet

Moneyline: Moneyline: Nationals -140 Brewers +130

Total: 8.5 (Over +100)

 

MLB Betting Game Trends

Washington Nationals

  • Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
  • Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
  • Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington’s last 13 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Milwaukee is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 7 games at home
  • Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games when playing Washington

 

Game Overview

The MLB trade deadline is just a couple of days away, and we are going to see the heavy impact of that deadline on display in Sunday afternoon’s MLB betting action, when the Milwaukee Brewers play host to the Washington Nationals.

The Nats enter the day on Saturday with 59 wins, and if though they won’t be the first team in the majors to get to 60, they could still be the first team in the National League to do so (if the Cincinnati Reds don’t beat them to the punch). Manager Davey Johnson has to have a growing concern over the Atlanta Braves, who are just four-games in Washington’s rearview mirror coming into play on Saturday. The Braves would be the last team in the playoffs if they started right now, and there isn’t all that much separating them from the likes of the Los Angeles Dodgers and St. Louis Cardinals in the Wild Card chase. With Stephen Strasburg potentially about to be shut down for some time, that makes Gio Gonzalez all that more important. He and his 13-5 record will be on display on Sunday. Gonzalez made for a great pickup from the Oakland Athletics in the offseason, and he has been as good as gold for his new team. The lefty is well on his way to 200 strikeouts this season, and batters are hitting just .197 against him. A 3.13 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP are the end result for a man that also doesn’t allow the long ball. Gonzalez has only conceded six dingers all campaign long.

This was supposed to be the day that Zack Greinke pitched for the Brew Crew. Unfortunately for the Brewers, Greinke was, as predicted, traded before he could make that start to the Los Angeles Angels for a plethora of talented youngsters. That’s going to make for an interesting situation for the Brewers to be in for this one, knowing that they are going to have to call someone up from AAA to step into the rotation. That man is going to be Mark Rogers. In fairness to Rogers, he was the team’s fifth pick in the 2004 MLB Draft, so we know that he has some talent. The question though, is whether that talent is ever really going to pay off. Rogers is now 26 years old and has been in the Milwaukee minor league system for the mass majority of eight years. He has only made four appearances and a total of two starts at the big league level, and those outings all came in 2010. Rogers allowed two runs in 10 frames as a starter, but what was impressive was his 11/3 K/BB ratio that he had in that time.

Prediction

This is just too much of a mismatch to overlook, though. Rogers has obviously never thrown deep into a game, and he is going to be going against Gonzalez, who is one of the best pitchers in the National League. The Brew Crew have to be crushed by the fact that they don’t have Greinke any longer, and that is going to lead to a victory for the visiting team by a comfortable margin. Washington 8 – Milwaukee 4

Share it now!
The following two tabs change content below.

Adam Markowitz

is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.

Latest posts by Adam Markowitz (see all)

Leave a Reply