TCU Horned Frogs
(9-0, 5-4 ATS)
(8-0, 6-1-1 ATS)
College football betting action might not get any better than this! In the first regular season meeting between two mid major schools ranked in the Top 5 of the BCS, the TCU Horned Frogs will meet the Utah Utes.
Obviously, this is a huge game for the Horned Frogs, who very well could move up to No. 2 in the BCS Rankings with a win on Saturday. Without this ‘W’, a second straight trip to a BCS bowl game seems awfully unlikely, though at least someone possible. It’s hard to find anything to not like about the defense on this team, especially knowing that there are two NFL starters from last year’s team that are no longer in Fort Worth. HC Gary Patterson has assembled a real dynamo on this side of the ball in particular. Opposition of the Horned Frogs are averaging just 217.3 yards and 8.7 points per game, and both marks are best in the country. Oh yes, and don’t forget about an offense at is coming in at just under 500 yards per game and just over 40 points per game. RB Ed Wesley has done a great job this year on the ground, picking up 938 yards and a total of ten TDs. However, QB Andy Dalton can really add to his legacy by winning this game and extending his school record for wins by a starting quarterback in a career.
It’s awfully hard to find anything that we don’t like about the Utes either, though. Again, defensively, this team is legit. The Utes rank No. 6 in major college football in total defense at 267.8 yards per game and No. 6 in scoring at 14.1 points per game. Only three foes have scored more than 14 against this ‘D’ this season, and four have been held to ten or less. Offensively, we also know that this is an incredibly well rounded bunch. Both QB Jordan Wynn and QB Terrance Cain have the ability to step in and throw the pill all over the field. Wynn has thrown for 1,431 yards and 13 scores against six picks this year, while Cain, while replacing the injured Wynn earlier this year, completed 76.6 percent of his passes and had a TD/INT ratio of 6/0. Both RB Eddie Wide and RB Matt Asiata can rumble on the ground as well. The two are both just shy of 500 yards this year and have combined for 15 scores. There are deep threats and great possession receivers as well. WR Jereme Brooks is the man to really keep an eye on, as he has 38 catches for 451 yards and four scores on the season. WRs DeVonte Christopher and Shaky Smithson are both averaging at least 18 yards per reception, and though the two only have 39 receptions between them, they are both capable of blasting an 80 yard play at any given moment.
Here’s what we know in this one. The Horned Frogs are significantly better than all of the teams they have run up against this year. Utah was definitely not significantly better than the Pitt Panthers to start the season. Have things changed? The Utes had better hope so. If not, TCU is going to make for one very unwelcome guest in Salt Lake City.
College Football Free Pick: TCU Horned Frogs -4.5