Ten Betting Tips: NFL Betting Bits To Watch For Week 14

Week 14 of the 2012 NFL betting campaign is about set to kick off on Thursday night, as all 32 teams continue their conquest to lift the Lombardi Trophy. Today, we take a look at our Top 10 Betting Tips, as we point out some of the most important people, teams, and trends that you’ll be hearing all about as the season continues.

All eyes this week in the NFL betting world are on QB Matt Schaub of the Houston Texans. Schaub has thrown for 3,062 yards this year, and some of his best games have been against some of his best foes. He threw for 256 yards with two scores and no picks against the Baltimore Ravens and 290 yards with four TDs and an INT against the Denver Broncos. Now, he gets the New England Patriots on the road on Monday Night Football with a chance to basically wrap up the No. 1 seed in the AFC playoffs if the club can get a victory. It’s a great spot for the Texans to be in, but it’s a bad game for them to be playing to do so, as they are three-point underdogs on the road. Though Houston can’t actually wrap up the No. 1 seed in the AFC this week, the…

Bet at 5dimesAtlanta Falcons can actually legitimately do so in the NFC. Sure, it isn’t like that the Packers, Bears, and 49ers all lose (in fact, it isn’t likely that any of them end up tasting defeat), and it isn’t even a given that Atlanta is going to beat the Carolina Panthers on Sunday, knowing that it is only -3.5. The Falcons have to go on the road and play this sometimes stingy team, and they have historically really struggled with QB Cam Newton and his run option offensive. Newton rumbled for 86 yards and a TD when these teams met in Week 4, and he threw for 215 yards and two TDs. The good news for the Falcons, though? At least they’re not dealing with…

Robert Griffin III, who is really making his case to be the NFL’s Offensive Rookie of the Year this season. RG3 has literally been off the chain over the course of the last three weeks. In those games, he has thrown for 667 yards and nine TDs against just one pick, and he has completed 73.0 percent of his passes. Not only that, but he has another 185 yards on the ground. Griffin is just 286 yards rushing shy of 1,000, and he can break the NFL record for the most rushing yards by a quarterback if he has a few more big games. There’s a reason that the Redskins are -1 in this home game against the Baltimore Ravens this week. Remember when Head Coach Mike Shanahan said that the season was over for the Skins? Now, they’re just a game back with four to play in both the NFC East and NFC Wild Card races. At least Shanahan didn’t turn into…

Norv Turner, who became the first head coach to be announced to be fired this year on Thursday night. Good ol’ Norv probably should have gone two years ago, as his team is 17-21 over the course of the last year and a half (plus one playoff game). GM AJ Smith is going to be shipping out as well at the season’s conclusion, a choice that was made easy by the brass of the San Diego Chargers when Smith wouldn’t can Norv after last year. That’s one terrible coach down, and a dead minimum of two more to go. That means that you’re next…

Ken Whisenhunt. Ha. You thought we were going to say Andy Reid, right? Well, Reid is the other guy that needs to go, but Whisenhunt is the one that absolutely has no right to stay with his team any longer. The Arizona Cardinals have lost eight straight games, and they just found a way to generate less than 100 total yards of offense (excluding a fake punt that went for 40 yards) against the New York Jets. At least the Philadelphia Eagles stayed competitive against the Dallas Cowboys and arguably should have beaten them. Alas, both of these men know that they are on the way out, but both still have the opportunity to make life a living hell on some teams that are trying to get into the playoffs. One of those teams that has a lot of games like this one that absolutely has to win is the…

Chicago Bears. The Bears are really hanging in the balance right now. They were beaten last week at home by the Seattle Seahawks in a game in which they were favored by 3.5 points. Now, they’re on the road and favored by a field goal over the Minnesota Vikings, and if that one is lost, they’re going to be in a boatload of trouble after once upon a time being a 7-1 team. Head Coach Lovie Smith and QB Jay Cutler likely have their jobs on the line, or at least in the line of fire if they can’t figure out how to get into the playoffs on the back of one of the best defenses that the league has to offer. The club ranks 30th in the league in total offense at just 304.0 yards per game, and Cutler is leading a passing attack that, not totally at his own fault, averages just 181.2 yards per game and ranks second to last in football. The only team in worse shape from a passing standpoint? The…

Minnesota Vikings, whom they are playing against this weekend. At least Cutler has one guy to throw the ball up to in WR Brandon Marshall. Right now, with WR Percy Harvin on the shelf, the only receivers that QB Christian Ponder has to work with are TE Kyle Rudolph, WR Michael Jenkins, WR Jerome Simpson, WR Devin Aromashodu, WR Jarius Wright… Who are these guys?!?!?! Make no mistake about this, though. The Vikes have themselves a great rusher in RB Adrian Peterson, who has over 300 more rushing yards than anyone else in the league this year. There’s still a legit chance to rush for over 2,000 yards on the campaign, and this comes following a season in which he tore his ACL. About the only thing more impressive than Peterson’s running right now is the receiving of another man in the NFC North…

Calvin Johnson of the Detroit Lions. The Megatron has been just about all that has been worth the price of admission to a Lions game, especially recently. If Detroit beats the seven-point spread this weekend on Sunday Night Football versus the Green Bay Packers, Johnson is going to be why. He leads the NFL in receiving with 1,428 yards, well over 200 more than his nearest competition. What really has us though, are his last five games. In that stretch, Johnson has 45 receptions, 790 yards, and four scores. If you were to prorate those numbers over the course of a full 16-game season, that would be 144 catches, 2,528 yards, and 14 TDs, and that’s a Yo! stat if we’ve ever heard it. Still, at +7 this weekend, the Lions are one of the biggest underdogs on the Week 14 odds. The biggest of the bunch though, is a team fighting for its playoff life, the…

Miami Dolphins. The Fins know that they are going to have to win out to get into the second season this year, and even that won’t necessarily get the job done. They’re +10 on the road at the San Francisco 49ers, and they are one of the three double digit dogs on the weekend. The thing with Miami is that it has been in virtually every game that it has played this year, and if you take out teams against the AFC South, there hasn’t been a game on the campaign in which it has lost by more than the seven-points it was beaten by last week by the New England Patriots. The Tennessee Titans did whoop up on this club by 34, and the only other brutal loss was way back in Week 1 against the…

Houston Texans. We all knew that Houston was going to be good this year, but the fact of the matter is that the team has just blown through a good chunk of its foes. The Texans are outscoring teams by 10.8 points per game on the campaign, and if you take away that brutal 42-24 loss to the Green Bay Packers, that average final score in Texans games this year has been 29.6-16.3, a margin of 13.3 points per game. This test this week though, is going to be the most difficult of the season, and that’s why Houston is such a dog on the road to the New England Patriots. Still, a win would be the biggest regular season victory in franchise history.

Andrew Ryan

Andrew Ryan

Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.

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