Ten Betting Tips: NFL Betting Bits To Watch For Week 4

Week 4 of the 2012 NFL betting campaign is about set to kick off on Thursday night, as all 32 teams continue their conquest to lift the Lombardi Trophy. Today, we take a look at our Top 10 Betting Tips, as we point out some of the most important people, teams, and trends that you’ll be hearing all about as the season continues.

The word “replacement” is a word that NFL fans hope to not hear a lot of any longer. Yes, the replacement refs are gone and the real refs are back, but there are some teams that are going to be dealing with some major injuries this week that could hamper their efforts at winning games. The biggest injury is probably that of Detroit Lions’ QB Matthew Stafford, who has a leg injury that took him out of the end of last week’s game against the Tennessee Titans. QB Shaun Hill was an ample replacement, and he has all sorts of history playing quarterback in this one. He’ll ensure that the Lions are still favorites this week at home in a pivotal game against the Minnesota Vikings. That’s all fine and dandy, but it’s nothing like the task that…

Joe McKnight is going to be asked to have for the New York Jets. DB Darrelle Revis is now out for the rest of the season after tearing his ACL against the Miami Dolphins last week, and that means that the Jets need another corner. DB Kyle Wilson, last year’s first round draft pick, is going to shift into a starting role, but there is a real question as to who will be the nickel or dime corner. The answer is apparently McKnight, a running back by trade, and a man that hasn’t played the corner position since high school. For whatever reason, Head Coach Rex Ryan thinks that he can make the former USC Trojan a cornerback. It’s not an orthodox thought, but Ryan is hoping to take a page out of the book of…

Bill Belichick, who has had success playing players like WR Julian Edelman and WR Wes Welker on the other side of the ball in the past. Those were rare occurrences though, and Belichick, though a mad genius, wouldn’t try this on a regular basis. Then again, you don’t normally see Belichick grabbing an official after a game. He was incensed with some of the calls made by the replacement refs (but then again, who hasn’t been upset with the refs?) and reached out and grabbed one at the end of the loss to the Baltimore Ravens last week on Sunday Night Football, a move that cost him $50,000. However, he avoided suspension and will be on the sidelines this week when his New England Patriots take on the Buffalo Bills. It’s a huge game for Buffalo, but this is another team that might have to deal with a big time replacement. The Bills might need to go with…

Tashard Choice at running back. RB CJ Spiller is out of the fold with a shoulder injury, and he might be losing out on his job, knowing that RB Fred Jackson is also set to come back into the lineup. But will either be ready to go in this one? That’s the real question. Choice isn’t exactly the most talented back in the world, but he has been around this league for quite some time, and he should be able to keep the ball moving against the Patriots, who don’t exactly have one of the best rush defense in the world. There’s a reason that Buffalo is only a field goal underdog at home. Choice might get his yards, but it is going to be tough to see another back…

Alfred Morris get his yards. The Washington Redskins running back isn’t the problem this year. He has done well, rushing for 263 yards and three TDs as a part of one of the best rushing games in the league. Unfortunately for the rookie out of Florida Atlantic, he is going against the best rushing defense in the league this week in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bucs have only allowed a total of 142 yards on the ground this year, and they have already played a team very much so like these Redskins when they pounded the Carolina Panthers and held them to just 10 yards. That’s why the hosts, who are the only 3-0 ATS team in the league that isn’t 3-0 SU this year, are favored by a field goal. The antithesis to Morris this week?

Maurice Jones-Drew of the Jacksonville Jaguars. Apparently, MJD really didn’t need an offseason of preparation after all. He already has 314 rushing yards this year, and that’s second best in the league behind RB Jamaal Charles, who only leads the league in rushing thanks to his massive game against the New Orleans Saints last week. But Jones-Drew is going to have a great game this week, knowing that he is going to be running against the second worst rushing defense in the league. The Cincinnati Bengals are allowing over 150 yards per game on the ground this year, but they are still favored by two points in this one thanks to the fact that the team did so well drafting…

Andy Dalton in the second round of the NFL Draft in 2011. The redhead from TCU has thrown for 867 yards and six TDs against three picks, and he has all six of those scores over the course of the last two weeks. Dalton is on his way to the Pro Bowl for the second straight year since getting drafted, but the man that was drafted 25 picks before him…

Blaine Gabbert has been a total disaster. Gabbert had a great first game of the year against the Vikings, but in the end, he has thrown for just 468 yards and four scores this year. Sure Gabbert hasn’t been picked off over the course of the campaign, but if you take away that 80-yard luck of a touchdown pass against the Colts last week, he would be averaging just 64.0 yards per game over the course of the last two games. Gabbert is on his way to the unemployment line at the end of the season in all likelihood, which might still be a year away from another quarterback in the Sunshine State…

Ryan Tannehill of the Miami Dolphins. Tannehill has to go up against the Arizona Cardinals and their stout defense, as 5.5-point underdogs this week. That ‘D’ is now on a streak of 12 straight games of holding foes down to 23 points or fewer. No other GM in the league aside from Jeff Ireland would have drafted Tannehill in the Top 10 of the NFL Draft, but Ireland just had to do it, knowing that his team just didn’t have another quarterback to reasonable choose from. Tannehill has to be careful this week against the Arizona secondary, which is one of the best in the league. Still, he isn’t nearly as successful of a first round draft pick as…

Matthew Stafford, who is now one of the five quarterbacks in NFL history to throw for at least 5,000 yards in a season. Stafford won’t get to that 5,000 yard mark this year if he misses this one, though he is the leader of the top ranked passing attack in the NFL. Still, with WR Calvin Johnson and a coach in Jim Schwartz that is allowing Stafford and his offense to chuck the ball an average of 45.0 times per game (which, by the way, would translate out to a mind-blowing 720 pass attempts in a full season), you never really know what Stafford or Hill is capable of this week… especially against a Minnesota defense that made Gabbert look every bit as good as Stafford in Week 1!

Andrew Ryan

Andrew Ryan

Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.

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