Ten Betting Tips: NFL Betting Bits To Watch For Week 5

Week 5 of the 2012 NFL betting campaign is about set to kick off on Thursday night, as all 32 teams continue their conquest to lift the Lombardi Trophy. Today, we take a look at our Top 10 Betting Tips, as we point out some of the most important people, teams, and trends that you’ll be hearing all about as the season continues.

We haven’t seen any head coach pull the plug on his starting quarterback due to performance yet this year, but the time could be coming to see just that. The Kansas City Chiefs are really getting tired of QB Matt Cassel, who has just five touchdowns against seven INTs this year. The Chiefs have gotten blown away in both of their home games, and you have to go back to Week 16 of the 2010 season to find the last time that they put up more than 24 points in a game at Arrowhead Stadium. That TD/INT ratio is bad, but it isn’t as bad as the one that…

Ryan Tannehill has for the Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins’ signal caller still has just two touchdown passes on the season, and he has six picks to offset those. The difference is that at least Tannehill is just a rookie and is clearly going to keep his job. He showed some real signs of maturity in just his fourth NFL game last week against the Arizona Cardinals, coming just a yard shy of the record for the most passing yards in a single game by a rookie with 431. His Dolphins are just three-point underdogs on the road to the Cincinnati Bengals this week, the exact same point spread that the…

Seattle Seahawks are underdogs by to the Carolina Panthers. The Seahawks don’t lose at home all that often, and they don’t win on the road either. QB Russell Wilson is another one of these quarterbacks that is under the gun for his job, and that might be where this is going if Seattle gets beaten this week. The home team is perfect all-time in this series from an SU perspective and has just one cover. Sound familiar? That’s exactly the situation that the…

Houston Texans are in this week when they go to East Rutherford to take on the New York Jets. The Texans are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in their five games against the Jets all-time, but they are heavy eight-point favorites to end that streak when they visit MetLife Stadium this Monday night. Houston has the top rated defense in the league going against one of the league’s most embarrassing offenses, but it is nowhere near as good as the advantage that the…

San Francisco 49ers have over the Buffalo Bills this week. There’s a reason that the Niners are the biggest favorites on the NFL betting lines in Week 5 at -9. They are coming home after just crushing the aforementioned Jets 34-0 in a game that was nowhere near that close, and they are going to be taking on a Buffalo side that has seen its offensive production really start to get cut over the course of the last few weeks. The Bills hit the low of lows when they conceded 45 points in the second half against the New England Patriots last week, which is one of the largest totals of all-time in the NFL for a half of football. The last time we saw an act of defense that was just that bad was last year when the…

Indianapolis Colts gave up 62 to the New Orleans Saints. Yes, that was the game that we all recognized just how far the Colts had fallen, as they allowed 557 yards and 62 points to the Saints, who didn’t score a single point in the final 12+ minutes of the game. Now, at least the Colts are showing a pulse, and some think that they have the ability to pull off the upset this weekend of the Green Bay Packers as seven-point underdogs. The advantage might be the pass rush that the Colts have to offer, as the Packers led the league coming into this week by allowing 16 sacks. One quarterback that has to be shaking in his boots right now is…

Matt Hasselbeck of the Tennessee Titans. The Titans still don’t have a running game that we can consistently count on, and Hasselbeck is going to have to be in the fold this week in place of the injured QB Jake Locker. The really bad news for Hasselbeck? He has to face a Minnesota Vikings defense that has routinely led the league in sacks. The man that hasn’t gotten going yet in terms of sacks is DE Jared Allen, who had 22 sacks last year and is clearly one of the best pass rushers in the history of football. He has just two sacks this year. The man leading the league in sacks? That would be…

JJ Watt of the Houston Texans. Many think that Watt has developed into one of the best all-around defense players in the game as a 3-4 defensive end. He has 7.5 sacks this year and is sure to get more this week against QB Mark Sanchez and the hapless New York Jets, who got the quarterback killed last week against the San Francisco 49ers. Watt clearly has help revolutionize the way that a 3-4 defensive ends gets up the field to the passer, something not all that unlike what…

Terrell Suggs was doing with the Baltimore Ravens before he got hurt. Suggs is the consummate man that is all over the field. He’ll be lined up down sometimes and up others. Either way, you know that he is coming to get your quarterback, and that’s something that opponents are happy they don’t have to deal with right now with T-Sizzle on the shelf. At least that’s one less thing that…

Matt Cassel has to worry about. Still, Cassel is a 5.5-point underdog on Sunday against a Baltimore team that has historically owned him, and he has his job on the line. If he plays anywhere near as badly as he did against Baltimore the last time that these two teams met in the 2011 playoffs (9/18, 70 yards, 0 TDs, 3 picks), there is no doubt that the first major quarterback change of the season is going to take place in KC.

Andrew Ryan

Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.