November 3, 2012

Ten Betting Tips: NFL Betting Bits To Watch For Week 9

Week 9 of the 2012 NFL betting campaign is about set to kick off on Thursday night, as all 32 teams continue their conquest to lift the Lombardi Trophy. Today, we take a look at our Top 10 Betting Tips, as we point out some of the most important people, teams, and trends that you’ll be hearing all about as the season continues.

Underdogs in general have been out of this world in NFL betting action this year. They have covered 61.2 percent of all games played, and home dogs are winning games at a clip of 48.8% from an SU standpoint. That means potentially bad news for a lot of teams this week, starting with the Green Bay Packers. The Pack are favored by 10 over the Arizona Cardinals, but in actuality, these two teams aren’t all that far off from one another. The difference? Arizona is a slumping 4-4 team that has dropped four games in a row. Green Bay is a scorching 5-3 team that has won three in a row. This isn’t anything like the situation that the…

SportsBookHouston Texans are in against the Buffalo Bills. Here’s another 10-point favorite that is going to have to do a whole heck of a lot to beat the final number, but Houston is up to the task. It has one of the most dynamic rushing assaults in the NFL with RB Arian Foster, and it is going against a rush defense that ranks dead last in the league. Buffalo has been a nightmare on the road, and it has already lost three games this year by at least 20 points. Of course, there’s no team that has been blown out this year like the…

Kansas City Chiefs, who were crushed thanks to a pair of non-offensive touchdowns allowed to the San Diego Chargers on Thursday Night Football. The Chiefs have been outscored this year by a league worst 13.4 points per game, and they have actually led for a grand total of zero seconds this year, as their only win came against the New Orleans Saints at the gun. Of course, that’s not the only team that New Orleans lost to already this year that has just one win. The other is the…

Carolina Panthers. The 1-6 Panthers are in a heck of a lot of trouble this year, and they are headed back towards their ways of two years ago when they ended up with the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft. Carolina is the clear underdog this week against the Washington Redskins, but it is impossible to avoid the comparison between the No. 1 pick from two years ago, QB Cam Newton, and the No. 2 pick from this past NFL Draft…

Robert Griffin III. RG3 is on his way to breaking the mark for the most rushing yards by a quarterback in a single season, held by QB Michael Vick, and he is quite capable of doing it. This week, he is going to be up against a defense that has to know what’s coming having seen Newton run it every single day in practice, so the speed that he has won’t be in play nearly as much. For as great as Griffin is, he isn’t picking up third downs all that often, converting on just 29.9 percent of his opportunities. That leaves Washington in the bottom five in the league, but not clear at the bottom. The rock bottom is clearly the…

Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jags have just one win this year, and Head Coach Mike Mularkey knows that converting on 27.4 percent of all third downs is one of the main reasons for that. However, Mularkey had to love what he saw last week against the Green Bay Packers, as his team showed some real heart out at Lambeau Field and stuck in a game that the argument could be made should have never been close. There were times that Jacksonville looked like the better team on the field, and if not for a blocked punt returned for a touchdown, the Jags might have ultimately won. Another team that doesn’t want to talk about blocked punts? That would be the…

New York Jets, who had one blocked and brought back for a touchdown last week against the Miami Dolphins. The Jets have to be thrilled to be on bye this week, and they are going to try to figure out how to make QB Tim Tebow more of a quarterback and less of a punt protector, especially if he is going to be blocking as badly as he did on his whiffed assignment on Sunday. QB Mark Sanchez is still under fire, but he isn’t under as much as…

Michael Vick is. Vick has been threatened to be benched now in each of the last two weeks, and he just hasn’t figured out how to get the job done for a struggling team. Vick is going against a defense that ranks dead last in the league in pass defense. If Vick can’t improve upon being the 25th best rated quarterback in the game, he absolutely should be benched. However, there is no quarterback that has a worse rating in the league than…

John Skelton, who is at just a 64.5 rating. Unfortunately for the Cardinals, they really don’t have all that much of a choice but to use Skelton for at least the next few weeks as QB Kevin Kolb rehabs from his rib injury. Still, it is really putting Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt on an even hotter seat than he perhaps already was on, knowing that he really has to get this team the playoffs to keep his job intact. With Skelton though, this is why Arizona is a double digit underdog to the…

Green Bay Packers, who figure to get their sixth win this season. At 6-3, the Pack clearly will look like a contender for the Lombardi Trophy once again, whether they win the NFC North or not. At the rate things are going though, there is no reason that they won’t be a team to be direly afraid of come January.

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Andrew Ryan

Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.

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