Texas Longhorns vs. Kansas State Wildcats Pick

College Basketball Picks

Preview


Texas Longhorns
vs.
Kansas State Wildcats

Date/Time: Wednesday January 30, 8:00 pm EST

Television: ESPN

College Basketball Odds from Bookmaker

Point Spread: Kansas State -9

Total: 121.5

 

Basketball Betting Game Trends

Texas Longhorns

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas State
  • Texas is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas State
  • Texas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
  • Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Kansas State Wildcats

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas State’s last 6 games when playing at home against Texas
  • Kansas State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas State’s last 6 games
  • Kansas State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas State’s last 6 games when playing Texas
  • Kansas State is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Texas

 

NCAA Basketball Pick

Way back at the beginning of the season the Texas Longhorns were the favorites in the Maui Invitational. Texas flopped in Maui, and they have never really found their groove ever since. The Longhorns would need a minor miracle to be in contention for a NCAA Tournament spot. Kansas State is 15-4 on the year, and the Wildcats are 9-1 at home. Bruce Weber’s team is 4-2 in the Big 12 Conference.

Game Overview:

Rick Barnes’ Texas Longhorns had some pretty high expectations this year, but the team has fallen far short of those lofty expectations. Myck Kabongo’s absence certainly has hurt the team, since he is their main offensive threat. Kabongo will return on February 13, but this team must find a way to win some before he gets back. The Longhorns defense has been great this year. Texas is first in the nation in three-point field goal defense. Opponents are shooting just 25.1 percent from beyond the arc against Texas. Overall, Texas only allows opponents to shoot 35.3 percent from the floor. Defense hasn’t been the problem

Offensively, Texas has a long ways to go. The Longhorns rank near the bottom of the nation in field goal percentage offense. As a team, they are shooting only 40.9 percent from the floor. Texas has no consistent long range threats. The Longhorns shoot just 30 percent from three-point range. Shelden McClellan leads the team in scoring, but he is shooting only 37.4 percent from the floor. Texas must find some offense if they are going to make any noise the rest of the year.

Kansas State has really picked up their defensive intensity this year. Bruce Weber’s teams at Southern Illinois and Illinois were always known for their defense, and the Wildcats seem to be learning quickly. Opponents are scoring just 58.2 points per game against Kansas State this year. It helps having a shot blocker in the post like Jordan Henriquez. His length really affects the opposing team, and he alters a ton of shots. Angel Rodriguez is one of the better on the ball defenders in the conference, and he averages 1.4 steals per game.

The Wildcats offense starts with Rodney McGruder, who averages 15.3 points per game. McGruder is a 6’4 guard who does everything well. He can get to the rim or shoot it from deep. He is also a tremendous rebounding guard. Shane Southwell and Will Spradling give the team two consistent shooters from long range. Kansas State has dominated the glass against quite a few opponents this year, and they often get a lot of second chance shots. The Wildcats aren’t a terrific shooting team, and they do go through long scoring droughts from time to time.

Prediction:

Both of these teams have been much better defensively than they have on the offensive end. It’s hard to imagine either team putting up a big number here. I like this to stay under the posted total.

Kansas State 63 Texas 54

Kyle Hunter

Kyle Hunter

is full-timesports writer and sports handicapper. You simply won’t find someone who loves sports more than Kyle. Kyle considers college football and college basketball his two favorite sports. Kyle has earned many accolades for his highly successful handicapping, and he writes full-time for many top sports websites. Keep an eye out for high quality free sports analysis from Kyle!

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