(2-0, 0-2 ATS)
Texas Tech Red Raiders
(2-0, 1-1 ATS)
The last time NCAA football betting fans saw the Texas Tech Red Raiders in action against the Texas Longhorns, WR Michael Crabtree ripped the hearts out of the Longhorn Nation, as he was busy scoring the biggest TD in the history of the school to pull off a tremendous upset. Now, these two teams will meet again on a stage that could be just as large if the men from Lubbock can throw the guns up once again.
Texas might be sporting a Top 10 ranking in both the AP Poll and the USA Today Poll coming into this game, but that doesn’t mean that HC Mack Brown is a happy camper. In fact, he has to be anything but thrilled right now, particularly with his offense. For a team that is incredibly deep at the running back position and has a tremendous prospect under center in the form of QB Garrett Gilbert, opponents like Rice and Wyoming should be getting more than 34 points dropped on their heads. The Horns rank just 73rd nationally in passing and 65th overall in offensive production. The defense hasn’t been that great either, at least by the lofty standards of DC Will Muschamp. The Longhorns have allowed 238.0 yards per game and 12.0 points per game. However, thanks to the lack of offense, this is a team that continues to find ways to win games without covering NCAA football spreads.
We aren’t so sure that this Texas Tech team is as talented as the one that nearly won the Big XII two years ago, but there is no doubt that HC Tommy Tuberville has something special that he is working with here in Lubbock. True to his word, Tuberville has kept the Air Raid offense intact, as QB Taylor Potts is leading the tenth best passing game in the land at 334.5 yards per game so far on the young season. RB Baron Batch is getting at least a few more carries, and he could be called upon just a tad more this week so the Longhorns don’t strictly key in on the pass on every down. Defensively, the Red Raiders have failed two relatively easy tests. Yes, the SMU Mustangs have a solid offense, but QB Kyle Padron is still relatively young, and in the first game of the year at home, allowing 27 points should not have happened. Last week’s 52-17 win at New Mexico was a solid boost for the offense, but again, 17 points conceded to a team with absolutely no offense to speak of is unacceptable, especially after the Lobos were trounced 72-0 to open their season against the Oregon Ducks.
Still, we tend to think that this could be a real fight. The Texas offense isn’t good enough to exploit this defense, and we already foresee this being a tremendous crowd under the lights in Lubbock. If a few things start to go right for the Red Raiders, they could be in line for another upset. It looks tempting to just lay 3.5 points with the No. 4 team in the country, but don’t fall into the trap! Texas Tech is the right college football free pick.
Selection: Texas Tech Red Raiders +3.5