Football Pick: Texas Tech vs. Texas
Date/Time: November 28th, 7:30 ET
Television: FOX Sports 1
College Football Odds from BetDSI
Point Spread: Texas -4.5
Thanksgiving night is traditionally a day for the Texas Longhorns to take center stage. They’re back at it in this one, but they have a new rival to take on now that the Texas A&M Aggies have cut off their ties. This year, UT will be facing the Texas Tech Red Raiders at home on the fourth Thursday of November and the last Thursday of the main portion of the college football schedule.
The Red Raiders have to be happy to have had a week off to get ready for this one. They have been pasted in four straight games, losing most recently 63-34 at the hands of the Baylor Bears, who at the time were headed for the BCS National Championship. The defense has really let this team down, allowing at least 38 points in all four of the losses, and it has given up at least 27 in six straight games. The offense is good enough to keep up with that pace, but what we are finding is that it just isn’t quite strong enough in the most clutch of situations to do that. It is still anyone’s guess as to whether it will be QB Davis Webb or QB Baker Mayfield who gets the start in this game, though we have to think that both of them are going to be playing. These two have combined for 4,393 passing yards and 28 TDs this year, and they are certainly both capable of throwing the ball all over the field to awesome targets like TE Jace Amaro and WR Eric Ward.
Texas still has a chance to win the Big XII this year, but it is going to take a heck of a lot of help for that to happen. Not only is the team going to have to win out, but the Oklahoma State Cowboys are going to have to lose once more as well. The fact of the matter is that this UT team has been flirting with disaster for quite some time, and it finally got bitten a week and a half ago by the Pokes in an ugly 38-13 loss. QB David Ash didn’t play in that game, and QB Case McCoy was picked off three times without a TD pass. Now, with the news breaking this week that Ash is out for the season, it’s going to be up to McCoy to get the job done with a team which has underachieved once again this season. This could be the very last home game for Head Coach Mack Brown, whom many expect and want to step down at the end of the season, but with an offense which is putting up 32.3 points per game against a suspect defense, we know that the possibility is there to win this game and at least keep those BCS bowl hopes alive going into Week 15.
For as much as we would like to think that the Red Raiders could put up a fight in this game with McCoy calling the shots, we don’t see it. Texas has won and covered three straight games in this series, and this isn’t going to be an exception to this rule. There’s just too much offense coming against a wreck of a T-Tech defense, and that will once again be the demise of the Red Raiders.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Texas Longhorns Pick: Texas Longhorns -4.5