Two teams on the opposite side of the expectation game come in with very similar results on the year. Texas, not picked to do a whole lot this season, has delivered to the letter thus far as they enter with a six and four mark. The Aggies on the other hand were supposed to have an amazing season in their last go round as a Big 12 member, and that has not been the case however, as they haven’t been able to hold onto leads.
When: Thursday, 8:00 PM EST
Where: Kyle Field, College Station, TX
LINE: -7.5(Texas A&M), O/U 54
The Longhorns have fallen onto hard times as of late, and this season has been no exception. They enter this match-up with just a 3-4 conference record that puts them in seventh place in the conference.
If you want to find a reason for the Longhorns recent slide, look no further than their below average quarterback play. They aren’t even putting up 200 passing yards per game. The number is actually significantly lower than that at 181 YPG, which is good for a dismal 96th in the country.
They do however run the ball amazingly well even with their passing deficiencies, racking up an average of over 200 yards per contest. They boast the number 15 ground attack in the country at 224 yards per game.
When Texas struggles though, it is usually the result of them just not being able to put up the points needed to secure a victory. In their four losses, they are averaging just over 15 points a game. It’s difficult to win any games with those numbers, much less a game against the Aggies who despite being ranked 78th in the country at scoring defense, have held for of its opponents this season to under 20 points including two under 10.
The Longhorn defense on the other hand, has actually been quite good this season. If you take away the two games with the Oklahoma teams, they are only giving up around 14 points a game. An astonishingly low amount of points for the Big 12.
That will make things a little tougher for an Aggies team that is averaging over 40.9 points per game and could be looking at a perfect season right now if it weren’t for their absolutely dreadful second half play over the course of the season.
They have been outscored 140-66 in the second half play, and have lost three overtime games, due to late quarter meltdowns. It is a shame that they haven’t been able to hold some leads, because this team is pretty fun to watch, especially on offense.
The Aggies sit in the top 20 in both passing and rushing yards, and are 15th in passing at 293 yards a game. They are also18th in the rushing at 218 YPG.
Matt’s Prediction: Texas A&M 28, Texas 17–Texas A&M is just the better team here. There is no question about that. The issue lies in whether or not the Aggies can avoid yet another letdown in this one. I personally think A&M will be hyped up for this one, seeing as it is the last meeting between the two in the Big 12.