August 3, 2010

Tuesday MLB Betting Preview – White Sox at Tigers

Chicago travels to face a divisional rival and opens up the series with a day-night doubleheader that is part of a four-game series.  The club has struggled against divisional opponents this season in comparison to the rest of the league, tallying a 17-20 mark (-700) and the total is 16-18 O/U in those contests.  The White Sox sit a game ahead of the Twins in the divisional standings, after posting a 6-1 mark in its recent seven-game homestand.  “We’re playing good baseball all over,” said reliever Matt Thornton.  It certainly helps to compiled a 35-12 record since June 9, leading the team back from a 9.5 game deficit earlier in the year.  The starting rotation has gone 27-10 with a 2.79 ERA and 37 quality starts in the last 47 games, lowering their season ERA from 5.28 to 4.09.  Chicago is just an even 25-25 on the road this season and 96-118 away from U.S. Cellular Field the last three years.

White Sox starting pitcher Mark Buehrle makes his 22nd start of the 2010 season, bringing in a 9-8 record and 4.15 ERA.  The left-hander is 6-2 with a 2.74 ERA over his last nine starts and 4-2 with a 2.31 ERA in his last seven road outings.  He has thrown seven innings of more in four of his last five starts.  Buehrle will be making his seventh daytime start of the 2010 campaign, posting a 3-1 mark and 4.26 ERA compared to a 6-7 record and 4.11 ERA at night.  He is 14-8 with a 2.99 ERA and a .253 opponents batting average in 28 career games (27 starts) versus Detroit.  He is 7-5 with a 3.12 ERA in 16 career outings (15 starts) at Comerica Park, including a 2-0 mark and 1.80 ERA in his last four outings in the Motor City.

Detroit continues to sink in the AL Central standings, falling to an even 52-52 record, while starting the day seven games back of today’s opponent.  The Tigers have lost 15 of their last 19 games and are 16-21 against divisional foes this season (-940).  “We’ve just got to go out and play,” pitcher Jeremy Bonderman said.  “You want to gain some ground and we can go out and control our own destiny.”  The Tigers have some hope in facing a southpaw starter this afternoon, going 18-11 against left-handers this season (+850), as the total is 16-13 O/U in those games.  Detroit is also a solid 24-20 during the day and the offense is averaging 4.5 runs and hitting for a .267 average under the sun.  The Tigers enter today’s game having won 20 of the club’s last 27 games at home dating back to June 2.  For the season, Detroit has compiled a 35-17 record at Comerica Park and is tops among all AL clubs with a .673 winning percentage.

Tigers starting pitcher Rick Porcello is in his second season for the club and will be making his 17th start of the season.  He is 4-9 with a 5.50 ERA in 16 starts this season with the big club, while posting a 1-2 record and 3.21 ERA at Toledo.  The right-hander enters his start this afternoon versus Chicago looking to snap a career-long five-game losing streak.  Porcello has compiled a 3.38 ERA over his last three starts for the Tigers dating back to July 17.  Detroit has lost all three games as he has received 2.11 runs per nine innings of support in those outings.  In 24 career outings at Comerica Park, he has tallied a 11-7 record and 4.07 ERA.  He has yet to record a victory against the White Sox, going 0-3 with a 9.77 ERA in three starts.

Bettors must respect the White Sox being 9-1 in their last 10 games as a road favorite, especially due to winning eight of Buehrle’s last 10 starts overall.  Detroit is an ultra-impressive 22-6 in its last 28 home games versus a team with a winning record and have won Porcello’s last four starts as a home underdog.

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