UCLA Bruins vs. Washington Huskies Pick, Trends, and Preview
(4-5, 3-6 ATS)
(3-6, 2-6-1 ATS)
The Pac-10 only has three teams that are bowl eligible right now, and there aren’t many more that might be filling slots. The loser of Thursday night’s crucial battle between the UCLA Bruins and the Washington Huskies is going to most likely be guaranteed to be sitting on the couch this winter.
UCLA at least has a tad bit of leeway here, as it can afford one more loss, but with the prospects of playing both the USC Trojans and the Arizona State Sun Devils is daunting at best. The men in blue and gold know that they have a terrible passing game and just cannot get behind in games. QB Richard Brehaut has only thrown for two TD passes this entire season against four picks. The Bruins as a whole have just barely thrown 200 passes in nine games. RB Johnathan Franklin already has 169 carries by himself! The bull of a back has averaged 5.3 yards per carry and leads the team with six TDs. Franklin needs 108 yards on the ground to reach 1,000 for the campaign. The other problem that UCLA is going to have is that its defense had not played well, particularly in Pac-10 play this year. The team allowed an average of 37.4 points per game in conference before beating the Oregon State Beavers 17-14 two Saturdays ago. The ground defense is of particular concern. HC Rick Neuheisel’s club ranks No. 95 in the land against the rush at a stunning 192.3 yards per game.
The Huskies don’t have any rope left, as they have to win out to be able to nail down a bid in a bowl game. This is the final home game for senior QB Jake Locker, who has never seen a bowl game in his collegiate career. With roadies at the Cal Golden Bears and Washington State Cougars, the possibility is at least remotely there with a win in Seattle on Thursday. Locker is coming back to the lineup after missing last week’s game, and it’s a good thing. His backup QB Keith Price just didn’t cut it, and the numbers for U-Dub really showed. Locker has thrown for 1,678 yards and 14 scores this year, and he has done a lot of hooking up with his favorite target, junior WR Jermaine Kearse. Kearse has 41 catches for 682 yards and ten TDs this year, though he is coming off of a game with Price at QB in which he caught just two passes for six yards. Remember that rush defense that was so porous that we discussed of UCLA’s? RB Chris Polk can’t wait to have his licks. He has 730 yards and four scores this year and has a big, big game on his mind on the national spotlight.
Though UCLA does seem to be playing a bit better ball this year, we think that splitting these two teams is hard to do. With a healthy Locker, we have to give the nod to the Huskies though, especially in their last home game of the season. Locker will want to go out with a bang and give U-Dub fans at least some mild hope of going bowling for the first time in years.
NCAA Football Free Pick: Washington Huskies -2
Latest posts by cappers (see all)
- Odds to Win the 2013 BCS Championship by Joe D’Amico - August 30, 2012
- NFL Values on Over/Under Total Wins by Joe D’Amico - August 30, 2012
- NFL Odds to Win it All by Joe D’Amico - August 30, 2012
- 2012 Sun Belt Conference Football Predictions - August 23, 2012
- 2012 WAC Conference Football Predictions - August 23, 2012