UNLV Runnin’ Rebels
(2-10, 5-7 ATS)
(9-3, 10-2 ATS)
In the final NCAA football betting affair of the final Saturday of the regular season, the Hawaii Warriors will take on the UNLV Rebels.
UNLV has had itself and absolutely atrocious campaign in which it has gone just 0-6 SU and ATS on the season. Things aren’t looking up right now for the trip to the Big Island either, especially for an offense that has only put together 273.4 yards and 18.2 points per game. The Rebs did find a way to win two games in MWC play this year, but this doesn’t look to be its first out of conference victory. QB Omar Clayton has done everything that he can this year, but between the lack of a running game and the fact that he really doesn’t have any phenomenal receivers to work with, his numbers have slacked. Clayton has completed 55.8 percent of his passes for 1,636 yards with 11 scores against six picks. His top back has been RB Tim Cornett, who has just 510 yards and six TDs on 130 carries. The defense has already allowed well over 40 points per game on the road this season, including 43+ in four straight. Allowing 439.2 yards and 38.1 points per game overall is a very bad thing to be carrying into Aloha Stadium, as those numbers are probably only getting worse.
Hawaii should roll over the Rebels in this one for its tenth win of the season, though the truth of the matter is that the Warriors already know that they are staying at home to host their own bowl game this year against a Conference USA opponent, most likely the SMU Mustangs and their former head coach, June Jones. QB Bryant Moniz has looked like the second coming of QB Colt Brennan on the Big Island, and his numbers are really showing it this year. Moniz, in a dozen games this year, has already thrown for 4,249 yards and 32 TDs, and there is a possibility that he could reach the 40 score mark and the 5,000 yard barrier by the time his bowl game is said and done. Both WR Greg Salas and WR Kealoha Pilares are hoping to follow in the footsteps of men like WR Devone Bess before them and make it to the NFL, and they have the stats that suggest they can do it. Salas and Pilares have combined for over 2,700 yards worth of receptions and 24 TDs. RB Alex Green has a 330 yard game under his belt now after last week’s romp over the New Mexico State Aggies, and he is now a 1,000 yard rusher with 1,032 yards and 16 scores.
The bottom line here is that the Rebels have been terrible away from home, and there’s no reason to believe that that is changing. The Warriors should be able to score virtually every time that they touch the football, and the end result here should be a very, very big victory for the hosts.
NCAA Football Free Pick: Hawaii Warriors -34.5