(6-6, 7-5 ATS)
New York Jets
(9-3, 7-5 ATS)
AFC East rivals duke it out in the Meadowlands in an NFL betting affair that should be very tightly contested, as the Miami Dolphins fight for playoff survival against the New York Jets.
For the Dolphins, last week’s loss to the Cleveland Browns in unexpected fashion really put their season on the brink of extinction. A loss to the Jets this weekend finish putting the dirt on their grave in 2010. Offensively, things are bad and getting worse for the Dolphins. They are quite possibly going to be without WR Brandon Marshall for a third straight game, and we already know that WR Brian Hartline is going to be out of the fold as well. QB Chad Henne is already being questioned after his three INT performance against Cleveland last week, and it looks like the only men that he is really going to have to work with from his bunch at the start of the season are TE Anthony Fasano and WR Davone Bess. The ground game just hasn’t panned out this year, as it seems awkward that a team that has both RB Ronnie Brown and RB Ricky Williams is only mustering 106.6 yards per game in that department. Alas, neither Brown nor Williams has even reached 600 yards yet on the season, and the two have only combined for five scores. The offense has only put up 18 TDs on the season, one of the lowest marks in the NFL, and if the squad can’t get into the end zone more than once against New York on the road, it can forget about the playoffs once and for all.
The Jets just have to be worried about containing the Dolphins on the other side of the ball, as its defense should have no problems against this offense. Unfortunately though, that just conjures up memories of a 10-9 loss to the Baltimore Ravens and a 9-0 loss to the Green Bay Packers, both games in which the defense was absolutely dominating. Those were the only two losses to date for the Jets before getting blown to bits last week by the New England Patriots. A playoff bid can’t be locked up on Sunday after watching the Indianapolis Colts win on Thursday Night Football, but any two wins from now through the end of the season will ensure that Head Coach Rex Ryan and company are in the tournament. We talked about this last week and will discuss it again with QB Mark Sanchez. He just has to hold onto the football and not let the pressure from men like DE Cameron Wake get to him. “The Sanchise” has been picked off at least once in each of his L/6 games, and all 11 of his INTs have come in this stretch, including three on MNF last week.
This seems like another one of those games in which the home team should be favored by a lot more than this. However, the Fins are a scrappy bunch, and every single time they are playing a game away from home with their season on the line, they seem to make NFL bettors pay for going against them. Miami might not quite get the job done on Sunday, but it can make this game very close and keep within the NFL odds.
NFL Free Pick New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins: Miami Dolphins +5.5