Week 5 College Football Odds
Are you all revved up and ready to go for the 2013 college football season? Week 5 is here, and that means it’s time to break down all of the NCAA football odds that you have in front of you to sink your teeth into!
The difference between last week and this week is that there aren’t nearly as many lousy games where the outcome is decided. We absolutely guarantee that there are going to be Top 25 teams that are getting upset this week, and we know that there will be a lot of shuffling around, as there are even a lot of potential in teams that are just on the outside of the Top 25 that could be moving on up this week.
The two teams that come to mind are the Arizona Wildcats and the UCF Knights. Both of these teams are 3-0, and they are both playing against teams that could be ripe for the picking. The Cats are going on the road and taking on the Washington Huskies as seven-point underdogs, while the Knights are taking on the South Carolina Gamecocks at home as 7.5-point underdogs. It’s a particularly good game for UCF, which is playing at home against an SEC team for the first time in school history. The city of Orlando is billing this as the biggest game of all-time in the entire city regardless of the circumstances, and there have been a lot of Capital One Bowls that have been played in the City Beautiful.
Unlike previous weeks, there are some Top 25 teams that are going on the road that could be in a lot of trouble. Sure, teams like the Oklahoma State Cowboys, Miami Hurricanes, Florida State Seminoles, Florida Gators, and Texas A&M Aggies are supposed to be winning, but none of them are of the outrageous 35-40 point favorites. They’re all on the road, and they’re all playing games against major conference schools. Miami is the only one playing a non-conference game against the South Florida Bulls, and the team is -18.5. The Aggies are playing against an Arkansas Razorbacks team that doesn’t have its starting quarterback in QB Brandon Allen. The Hogs have had a good history in this series, but they were blown out by the Aggies last year 52-10 in a game that was never all that close. This year, Texas A&M is -13 to start the week. Another team that doesn’t have its starting quarterback, the Gators are going to have to go into their first battle of the year without QB Jeff Driskel. Florida hasn’t lost to the Kentucky Wildcats in three and a half decades, and the -13 point spread is as close as these two have been in quite some time.
Meanwhile, Oklahoma State is going to take on an offensively challenged West Virginia Mountaineers team and is one of the biggest favorites of the week at -18.5. The Seminoles and QB Jameis Winston are the biggest road favorites though, at -21.5.
There are some big time favorites as there are every week though, and the Clemson Tigers and the Oregon Ducks are the biggest of the bunch. Clemson is giving 28.5 at home against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, while the Quack Attack is giving 37 to the Cal Golden Bears.
That game between Oregon and Cal should be a fun one. Both of these offenses want to run right up to the line of scrimmage and snap the football as quickly as possible, and as a result, there could be 200 offensive plays run (and we’re not exaggerating either). The highest ‘total’ that we have ever seen is 84, and this one might ultimately exceed this. This is where the Ducks and the Golden Bears are right now, and we have a feeling that this one is only going to continue to rise. Oregon’s implied team total in this conference game is a whopping 60.5, and there’s no doubt that it could easily get there.
However, let’s not get too far ahead of ourselves until we cover the games early on in the week. On Thursday night, the Virginia Tech Hokies are going to be in some trouble going to Bobby Dodd Stadium to take on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. G-Tech is giving a touchdown in this game, and this is going to be a tough one for both teams, knowing that they are both playing on short weeks after hard games just on Saturday.
Meanwhile, in the other weekday games, the Iowa State Cyclones are +2.5 against the Tulsa Golden Hurricane, while the BYU Cougars are -21.5 against the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders. Former WAC teams, the Utah State Aggies and San Jose State Spartans are meeting in San Jose on Friday night as well, and the hosts are getting 10 at Spartan Stadium.
There are three major games this week that deserve to be discussed. We’ll start in the Big Ten, where the Ohio State Buckeyes are going to take on the Wisconsin Badgers. These are certainly the two best teams in the Big Ten Leaders Division, and there is no doubt that the winner of this game is going to be going to the Big Ten Championship Game, especially if it is Ohio State. QB Braxton Miller is going to be activated for this game, as he has been sitting out with a knee injury that he suffered three weeks ago. The Buckeyes are only -7.5 against a team that is just barely ranked in the Top 25, but for as much as we dog the Badgers, they are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS on the season.
The other two major games are in the SEC. The Ole Miss Rebels and the Alabama Crimson Tide are going to war with one another in a game that looks eerily similar to the game between Alabama and Texas A&M last season. The Rebels are the new flavor of the SEC West, just as A&M was last year. The Rebels have a hot, new, young quarterback in QB Bo Wallace, just like QB Johnny Manziel. Ole Miss is a 17-point favorite, which isn’t that far off from the 14-point favorite that Texas A&M was last season. The Crimson Tide are the real deal, but they aren’t unbeatable this year. The Rebels can win this game, and they have proven it by sticking inside of the number in four straight visits to Tuscaloosa.
But of course, the cream of the crop game here on the Week 5 odds is the one between the Georgia Bulldogs and the LSU Tigers. Georgia is out of games to lose this year, as it knows that its National Championship dreams will be dashed if this game is lost. LSU might be able to afford the defeat, but it isn’t going to be easy for sure if this one is lost. QB Zach Mettenberger returns to Athens, where he thought that he was beginning his collegiate career. Instead, Mettenberger came to the Bayou, and he is going to be able to come back to his original college to exact some revenge. The Tigers have shot up the rankings week after week and are now on the verge of being in the Top 5 in the land. Now though, they are +3.5 on the road against these Dawgs. Can LSU pull off the upset? This could be the biggest question that begs to be answered here in Week 5.
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