Week 6 College Football Odds
Are you all revved up and ready to go for the 2013 college football season? Week 6 is here, and that means it’s time to break down all of the NCAA football odds that you have in front of you to sink your teeth into!
Upsets are surely going to be in the cards in Week 6, as there are a ton of teams that are road favorites that could be ripe for some problems on the college football odds. It all starts right away on Thursday with a three-pack of games that could end in surprising results.
The Texas Longhorns are going on the road to take on the Iowa State Cyclones. Head Coach Mack Brown probably knows that his next loss in conference play might be his last loss in conference play, as the buzzards are really swarming for his job. His Longhorns are favored by 7.5 against the Iowa State Cyclones in a game that is really dangerous. Jack Trice Stadium is no fun to play at, especially in primetime games, and not having QB David Ash is going to really hurt as well. QB Case McCoy has never played well in road games in his career.
Meanwhile, elsewhere on Thursday night, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are -6 against the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks, while the UCLA Bruins are -4.5 on the road against a very dangerous Utah Utes team. If you don’t know the name QB Travis Wilson, you will after Thursday night’s clash. Wilson is built a lot in the mold of QB Brett Hundley, who is a legitimate Heisman Trophy candidate for the Bruins. Both love to get out of the pocket and throw the ball or take off with their legs, and that could make this a spooky game for one of the Top 15 ranked teams from the Pac-12.
On Friday night, the two road teams are insinuated to be the lesser of the clubs, but the BYU Cougars and the Nevada Wolf Pack are both capable of upsets. The Cougs are +6.5 against the Utah State Aggies in the battle to be the runner up in the Beehive State this year, while the Wolf Pack are +4.5 against the San Diego State Aztecs at Qualcomm Stadium.
Saturday’s games are going to cause a lot of drama as well. Before we get to that though, there are a few blowouts games that are expected. The Louisville Cardinals are one of the biggest road favorites that we have seen all season long at -34 against the Temple Owls, but they aren’t even the biggest road favorites of the week. The Oregon Ducks are -38 against the Colorado Buffaloes. Think that’s a lot of points? The last two games between these two have featured Oregon outscoring the Buffs 115-16.
But of course, the biggest favorites of the week are the Alabama Crimson Tide, who really have yet to figure out how to put together that perfect game from start to finish. The opportunity is going to be there to get some confidence against the Georgia State Panthers, who might be the worst team at the FBS level. The Panthers are getting 55.5 points, making them the biggest underdog this year that we have seen in an FBS vs. FBS game, though we know that it isn’t quite fair to talk about Georgia State as a real FBS team, knowing that it is still transitioning.
From the top of the rotation schedule, there are all sorts of problems for teams that are either ranked in the Top 25 or nearly there. The Michigan State Spartans are one of these teams expected to compete in the Big Ten, but their offense has been holding them back. They are +1.5 on the road at Kinnick Stadium against an Iowa Hawkeyes team that hasn’t really played anyone great this year but definitely has some confidence with some wins.
Elsewhere in the Big Ten, the Penn State Nittany Lions are -4 on the road against the Indiana Hoosiers, who badly need some wins to keep Head Coach Kevin Wilson employed next year. However, the game that everyone really wants to see that is the epitome of dangerous is the one between the Northwestern Wildcats and the Ohio State Buckeyes. Evanston is going to be rocking in this one, as the Cats know that they can pull off the upset here to get into the Top 10 in the land in what might be the best season that this school has ever had in football. OSU is one of the best teams in America, but this is the second straight Top 25 team that it has had to face. The game against the Wisconsin Badgers wasn’t convincing at home. Can the Cats pull off the shocker? The team is +6 at home, but this is a dangerous game for sure.
The SEC might have some even more dangerous games when push comes to shove. Remember that tis conference is expected to have some National Championship contenders this year, but this could be a lethal week. The Georgia Bulldogs are on the road against the Tennessee Volunteers. The Vols aren’t the best team in the SEC by any stretch of the imagination, but they are capable of winning some games. They’re getting 11 in this one, but they know that they have a team on the other side of the field that just won a huge game last week against LSU and could be ripe for the taking.
QB Tyler Murphy had a good first game for the Florida Gators against the Kentucky Wildcats on the road, but this is a much different challenge against the Arkansas Razorbacks. UF is -10.5, but the Hogs have had a good history of at least forcing close games in the Swamp in the past, including nearly beating QB Tim Tebow in his tremendous run in Gainesville. On top of that, the LSU Tigers are -9.5 on the road against the Mississippi State Bulldogs, while another Top 25 SEC team, the Mississippi Rebels are only-2.5 against the Auburn Tigers at Jordan Hare Stadium. Even the Vanderbilt Commodores, who were supposed to be one of the better teams in the SEC once again this year, could be challenged as a two-point favorite at home against the up and coming Missouri Tigers.
There are a couple other battles between Top 25 teams or teams that are nearly in the Top 25. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish were only just knocked out of the Top 25 last week when they were beaten for the second time this season, and the team that replaced them in the rankings is the Arizona State Sun Devils, who are this week’s opponent. ASU is the six-point favorite in this game, which will be played in Arlington instead of on the home field of either of these teams.
Meanwhile over in the ACC, both of the teams that are in the thick of the fight for the National Championship, the Florida State Seminoles and the Clemson Tigers could have some interesting games. Clemson is going on the road to take on the Syracuse Orange, while Florida State, fresh off of that suspect win over the Boston College Eagles last week, will take on another new Top 25 team, the Maryland Terrapins. The Seminoles are favored by 14.5 at home, while Clemson, which opened up the week at -14.5 as well, are now just -13.
The game of the week as we see it though, is out of the Pac-12. The Washington Huskies and the Stanford Cardinal are both Rose Bowl contenders this year, and the winner of this game is going to have a leg up in the Pac-12 North race against the other for the rest of the campaign. U-Dub has been great this year, but this is going to be the hardest game of its season. The Huskies are taking on a Stanford team that hasn’t been the best or the flashiest, but it has gotten the job done when it has really needed to. The Cardinal are legitimate, but they are only giving a TD in this game as well.
In regards to ‘totals’ this week, we are seeing a lot of numbers all over the board once again. It doesn’t get any higher than the 76 in the clash between the Baylor Bears and the West Virginia Mountaineers, and for good reason. WVU finally woke up offensively last week with QB Clint Trickett at quarterback, and he is going to have to stay shot for shot with the offense that Head Coach Art Briles has put together that is averaging right around 600 yards per game. Oregon and Colorado get an honorable mention here at 75.
Ten games are lined in the 40s this week, which is the most games that we have seen with ‘totals’ this low this year. However, it doesn’t get any lower than the 42 in the clash we spoke of earlier between Michigan State and Iowa in what should be a defensive slug fest at Kinnick Stadium.