There have been a plethora of upsets of some of the middling seeds in the men’s side of Wimbledon betting action, but none of the “Big 4″ have yet to taste defeat. On Wednesday afternoon, the biggest underdog left in this tournament, Bernard Tomic is going to be taking on one of the hottest players on the ATP Tour this season, Novak Djokovic.
What a run this has been for the Aussie! This qualifier had never before made it beyond the third round of a Grand Slam event, and that only came for the first time this year at the Aussie Open. The bad news for this 18 year old is that he had only won eight matches in his career before this event, and this is clearly the biggest stage that he has ever been on in his career. Tomic had to come all the way through qualifying over the course of this tournament, meaning there were three rounds full of action that he had to survive just to get into the field. Upsets have been galore thanks to Tomic. He took out Nikolay Davydenko in straight sets in the first round, but the argument could be made that he has really only had the Wimbledon odds stacked higher and higher against him as this tournament has progressed. He was down two sets to Igor Andreev in the second round before winning the final three sets. The third round marked the biggest upset of Tomic’s career, as he took down Robin Soderling 6-1, 6-4, 7-5. Finally on Monday, Xavier Malisse was the one to fall in the fourth round.
41-1. That’s a heck of a record by any standards. However, for Djokovic, that just isn’t good enough. That one loss to Roger Federer in the semifinals of the French Open is one that the Serb has to be on his mind, especially knowing that this is the likely matchup in the semifinals. However, Djokovic really can’t overlook this match, or he’ll be bitterly disappointed once again. So far in this tournament, there really hasn’t been a challenge to the Serb, as the only set that was lost was the second set to Marcos Baghdatis. The good news for Djokovic is that he really has had a great set of competitors that he has run into along the way. Michael Llodra was ranked No. 19 in this tournament, but he really never had a chance against Djokovic, who rolled 6-3, 6-3, 6-3. What was really most impressive in this match was the fact that the No. 2 ranked player in the world won 73 percent of his second service points. If he keeps this up, there won’t be a player that can beat him.
We do tend to believe that Tomic is going to have the ability to stick around for awhile in this match, and we wouldn’t be surprised if he does steal a set in this match. However, when push comes to shove, this is a match where Djokovic -700 is clearly the right price to take.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.