June 28, 2011

Wimbledon Preview: Jo-Wilfried Tsonga vs. Roger Federer Picks

Roger Federer already has himself a plethora of Grand Slam events and championship trophies at Wimbledon, but he is out for another fantastic honor this year. He’s going to be meeting with Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in the quarterfinals of Wimbledon betting action.

Poor Tsonga keeps getting deep into these Grand Slam events, only to be ousted by one of the Top 4 players in the world, all of which seemingly just continue to make semifinal after semifinal. He was a quarterfinalist last year at Wimbledon before getting bounced, and this is the fourth time since the 2008 Australian Open in which he reached this point. He’s just 2-2 in these quarterfinals matches. It hasn’t been the easiest road to reach the quarters for Tsonga, but he really does seem to be getting better and better as this tournament progresses. Grigor Dimitrov was the only man to be able to take a set from the Frenchman in this tournament, and that includes tricky fixtures with Fernando Gonzalez in the third round and No. 7 David Ferrer in the third round. Tsonga was dominating against Ferrer on Monday, coming up with a 6-3, 6-4, 7-6 (7-1) victory, and he really was the one dominated play in that third set tiebreaker to ensure that he wouldn’t have to extend that match to a fourth set. Tsonga won a whopping 93 percent of his first service points against Ferrer and is going to need a big time percentage like this again to take care of Federer.

It almost feels like Federer has some unfinished business here at Wimbledon. He was knocked out in the quarterfinals last year of this event, and he hopes to avoid the same type of fate here at the All England Club this year. Federer is now on a five major slump without a title, which is the longest stretch that he has had since he began this remarkable run which is now at 29 straight quarterfinals appearances in Grand Slam events. To no one’s surprise, this hasn’t been a difficult road for the Swiss native to make it into the quarters. Mikhail Youzhny did take the first set against Federer on Monday in the fourth round, but after that, the master dominated with three straight 6-3 victories in the second, third, and fourth sets. Federer has only been pushed to two tiebreakers in this championship to date, and he has been able to finish every other set in 10 games or fewer. Federer needs to be careful with his second serves. He has only won 54 and 51 percent of his second service points in his last two matches respectively.

Tsonga is playing well right now, but there is just no doubt that the chalk should be holding up here in the first match on Centre Court on Wednesday. It’s a chalky play, but Federer -600 is clearly the play to be making in Wimbledon betting action in the quarterfinals.

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Andrew Ryan

Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.

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