(9-1, 5-5 ATS)
(7-3, 3-7 ATS)
The Wisconsin Badgers are well on their way to their place in the Rose Bowl, but the Michigan Wolverines are standing in their path this weekend in college football betting action in Ann Arbor.
The Badgers are in great shape right now, as they really can still win the BCS Championship if the cards all fall in line properly. However, both a title shot and the Rose Bowl will go down the tubes with a defeat here against Michigan. The offense for Wisconsin finally hit its stride last week, cashing in on an 83-20 victory against the Indiana Hoosiers. Winning that fixture wasn’t surprising, but winning it by 63 points was of the utmost surprise. All of a sudden, the No. 5 team in the land is averaging 40.2 points per game and 428.5 yards per game, and it is one of the few teams in the country that are averaging over 200 yards per game both through the air and on the ground. The bad news is that RB John Clay, who missed last week’s game with a knee injury, will also be out on Saturday. However, his backups, RB James White and RB Montee Ball have combined for over 1,200 yards this year and 20 TDs. Wisconsin as a team has an outrageous 35 rushing TDs in ten games in 2010.
The Wolverines haven’t covered a set of NCAA football odds since September 25th, but no one in Ann Arbor is really going to care about that if they win the home finale against the Badgers. It is going to be an epic day for QB Denard Robinson, who is probably going to exceed the 2,000 yard passing mark and the 1,500 yard rushing mark on the season. He already has 26 TDs in ten games to speak of, and he is probably on the verge of being a Heisman Trophy finalist. Don’t forget about how strong WR Roy Roundtree is. The new holder of the best single game receiving yards in maize and blue history, Roundtree suddenly has 15 catches, 315 yards, and three TDs over his last two games. Michigan’s problem certainly isn’t scoring or offense, as 521.8 yards and 37.7 points per game are certainly nothing to be ashamed of. The problem that HC Rich Rodriguez has is that his defense has been questionable at absolute best. Big Blue is averaging 433.9 yards per game allowed, and it has allowed at least 34 points in six games this year.
The Wolverines have already done their job this year, as they have figured out how to make it to a bowl game. However, this is a test that is beyond their reach. Wisconsin is just too strong to be beaten, especially with a spot in the Rose Bowl this close. Michigan fans are going to be incredibly happy to win next week in Columbus regardless of their squad loses by 100 in this one.
College Football Free Pick: Wisconsin Badgers -4
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