(Home record and amount of profit based upon a $100 bet listed in parentheses)
New York Mets (17-27, -$1,531) – The Mets were one of the worst teams at home this year, and they are the only team to not to log at least 19 victories in the National League in the first half. What’s really costing the team this year at home is the fact that they are often just huge favorites with men like RHP Matt Harvey on the mound. Harvey has been beaten as a -180, a -161, a -213, and a -116 favorite, as well as a +128 underdog. Though Harvey was definitely deserving of being the All-Star Game starter this year, he isn’t the end all, be all, and he is still playing on a team that really isn’t all that talented. There could be some real problems in the future for the Mets at home if this keeps up.
Los Angeles Angels (24-25, -$1,344) – There are a lot of teams that would be posting winning money marks if they were just one-game under .500 over the course of their first 49 home games of the year. For the Angels though, this is literally a disaster of epic proportions. The Halos are starting to sort of get it together, but they are still quite a ways away from getting back into the fight in the AL West. With so many good teams in the Wild Card race in the American League, the season very well could be over with soon. If the Angels start to tank, this could get worse before it gets better.
Houston Astros (17-32, -$924) – The Astros only won 33 games in the first half of the year, but they really had a lot of progress on the road in a span in May. Since that point though, they have been reverting back to the wreck that we expected they would be this year. Houston has one of the best farm systems in baseball, but this isn’t going to be good enough to get the job done this year. Do be aware though, that when rosters expand in September, this could be a tremendous team to bet on at huge plus odds, especially at home.
Milwaukee Brewers (22-26, -$739) – The Brewers were surprisingly one of the worst teams in baseball this year. They aren’t going to be any better in the second half of the campaign in all likelihood. The offense has been awful at home for the most part, and the team has only averaged 3.38 runs per game in their last eight games played at Miller Park. It’s remarkable that even three of those games were won for as bad as this pitching staff is as well. Milwaukee is going to continue to struggle late in the year as we see it, and the oddsmakers just don’t seem to be catching up enough with the Brewers the same way that they did for a while with the likes of the Marlins and Astros.
Los Angeles Dodgers (27-23, -$587) – If there is one team on this list that could go from a team in the bottom five in the league at home to a team in the top five in the league at home by the end of the year, this would be it. The Dodgers are only down six units on the season, and they are going to have a real opportunity in the second half of the campaign to perhaps go something like 20-11 at Chavez Ravine. LA is going to have to do it if it is going to win the NL West this year, something that is absolutely still up for grabs for just about any of the five teams in the division.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.