Just a handful of weeks are left until the postseason in baseball begins, and MLB betting fans should always have an eye on the best and worst pitchers in the game. Today, we are dissecting some of the ones that have done the worst for bettors all season long who you should probably be backing in the coming weeks.
It’s been a rough two weeks for some great starting pitchers who just haven’t managed to put things together for one reason or another. We’ll start out with an honorary hat tip to Matt Harvey, who is going to see his first full season in the bigs end in disaster. The righty is going to almost certainly have to go through Tommy John surgery, which is going to cost him the entire 2014 season as well as the rest of this one. He’s going to end the year with a loss of $647, as he only led his woeful team to a 13-13 record in games in which he has pitched. Of course, that number wouldn’t have been good enough to get on this list on a regular basis, but we feel the need to mention it anyway. Same goes for Harvey’s teammate, Jeremy Hefner, who is also going to have to undergo Tommy John surgery and will miss ’14 as well. Good riddance to bad rubbish as far as we are concerned from a betting standpoint. Hefner went just 7-16 for the Mets and lost $729 for the campaign.
Another injured pitcher who has found his way onto this list is Matt Cain. Cain has had the most frustrating season of his career, and it is one that all of the Giants are just hoping ends ASAP. The righty got hit with a liner off of his elbow, and he is going to be out for at least the next couple weeks, if not for the rest of the season. He’s 8-8 with a 4.43 ERA, which is bad enough by his standards as it is, but Cain lost $885 for his backers on the season.
The newcomer to the list is Jerome Williams of the Los Angeles Angels. All season long, we have been talking about Joe Blanton as one of the biggest pitching duds in baseball, and he is going to finish out the season there as well at 4-16 with a -$1,683 mark, one of the worst marks we have seen in a long time for an individual pitcher. However, it is Williams that we are going to focus on right now. The righty is only 5-10 with a 4.80 ERA on the season, and we are wondering why teams keep giving this Hawaiian a job. He has guided LA to eight consecutive losses, and he hasn’t won a game since June 12th. The damage for the year is now up to $1,045 while Williams is on the hill.
Things have gotten at least a little better both for Stephen Strasburg and Cole Hamels, two pitchers we have been talking about all season long on the MLB betting lines for all of the wrong reasons. Strasburg is 6-9 on the season in spite of the fact that he has a 3.00 ERA and is going to likely finish up the campaign with 200 strikeouts. In his last two starts that weren’t cut short by Mother Nature, Strasburg pitched 8.2 and 9.0 innings, striking out 18 in that time in those games. The righty has led his team to wins in three straight starts. Hamels meanwhile, has guided the Phillies to wins in three straight starts as well, and he has a 7-4 record since June 26th for the club. In that stretch, his ERA is only 2.22. Too bad the team is still only 9-18 and down $1,440 in that stretch.
But of course, the man of the hour that we are highlighting as the, “Oh my goodness, don’t back this man if your life depended on it” pitcher of the moment is RHP Justin Verlander. Boy, is Verlander lucky that RHP Max Scherzer is 19-1, because if he wasn’t out there and an average 10-10 pitcher was instead, Verlander would be taking all sorts of heat. The Tigers wouldn’t be in the playoffs, and it would be looked upon as Verlander’s fault. The righty has been a disaster in these last two starts, as he has allowed 11 runs in 12 innings of work, and he is continuously getting blown up from time to time. He’s only 12-10 on the season with a very humane 3.73 ERA. The strikeouts are high with 169, but 65 walks? That’s a ton. After going an astounding 78-31 over the course of his last three seasons, that 12-10 record is bad, but worse is the 13-15 record that the team has overall in his starts. The damage? $1,459, the second worst mark in baseball. One more bad outing against a bad team, and Verlander might be behind Blanton as the worst money pitcher in the game, and it would come with him pitching on one of the best teams in baseball.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.