The NFL playoffs kick off this week, and the Seattle Seahawks and the Washington Redskins are set to do battle. Check out some of the NFL prop bets that are available at BetDSI, as we analyze the betting lines and see which sides to play.
Total Punts Under 9 (-115): P Sav Rocca and P Jon Ryan have both booted the ball quite a bit this year, but when push comes to shove, are both guys really going to punt it five times? The Seahawks have only punted the ball away 11 times in their last four games combined, and Washington hasn’t punted more than five times in a game since Week 5. Both of these teams love to keep the ball on the ground, and that could ultimately lead to a lot more running of the clock than anything else. We think that the fair number is around eight punts, not nine punts, and that makes this one all that more enticing.
Largest Lead of the Game Over 13.5 Points (+100): It’s a 50/50 proposition, and we have to think that this prop would go hand in hand with the prop that we see in a lot of these games that looks like a sucker bet of, “Will either team score three consecutive times in the game?” There’s no doubt that these two teams have the ability to score, knowing that the Redskins and Seahawks rank fourth and ninth in the league respectively in scoring this year. The question is whether the two defenses, both of which have the ability to really shut down opponents, can be taken advantage of. We tend to think that the answer is yes, though it doesn’t have to be to a tremendous extent. We just need one two-touchdown lead at some point over the course of the game, and we think that there has to be at least a 50/50 chance of that happening.
Russell Wilson Touchdown Passes Over 1.5 (-140): The bread and butter for the Seattle offense is its rushing attack, but Wilson broke the rookie record for the most touchdown passes in a season this year with 26 as well. The man from Wisconsin via NC State had five straight games with at least two TD passes in the middle of the season, and we think that he is going to be able to keep that going in this one against a defense that ranked 30th in the league this year against the pass. Washington’s secondary has some talent, but this unit has been torched at times as well and will almost certainly give up some yards and some points to Wilson and the gang.
Marshawn Lynch Under 101.5 Rushing Yards (-115): Betting Lynch’s ‘over’ seems like a slam dunk, knowing that he has made it to the century mark in four straight games. However, the man they call Beast Mode isn’t a lock to get to 100 yards in this one, knowing that he is running against a defense that has allowed less than 100 total rushing yards per game on average this year. Lynch also had six games this year where he failed to reach 100 yards, and he had three others where he had no more than 105 yards. It’s just too close and far too risky in a game of this magnitude and against a front seven that is this good to bank on Lynch getting to 102 yards on the ground.
Zach Miller Over 25.5 Receiving Yards (-115): The Redskins are really bad in the secondary and the linebacker corps when it comes to defending the pass, and tight ends have really crippled this team all year long. You might think that Miller might have the potential to get shut out in this game, knowing that he has been blanked once and held to just one catch once this year as well. He has only had one game with more than three receptions, and he hasn’t reached 30 yards receiving since Week 10 against the New York Jets. That being said, the passing game is going to have to do more in this one to succeed, and Miller could become an integral part of the offense when push comes to shove. This isn’t a heck of a lot of yards to be asking for.
Alfred Morris Over 90.5 Rushing Yards (-115): Last week, Head Coach Mike Shanahan proved that he wasn’t afraid to put the ball in the hands of his horse, even if he is just a rookie. Needing a huge rushing performance against a team that had improved dramatically defensively as the year went on that was also playing for its life, Morris rushed the ball 33 times for 200 yards. It was the seventh straight game with at least 20 carries for the rookie out of Florida Atlantic, and in those games, he reached at least 91 yards five times. We know that Morris is going to get the rock at least 20 times in this one, and though it is tough running the ball against the Seahawks, there’s no reason to think that he can’t average at least four yards per carry and eclipse this mark more than half the time.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.