Nick Martinez (2-0, 1.88 ERA) gets the start for the Texas Rangers (15-22) as they go up against Carlos Carrasco (4-3, 4.84 ERA) and the Cleveland Indians (14-21) in the last of a three-game series at Globe Life Park in Arlington. The Indians won the last game 10-8 and Cleveland leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 3:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 17 and will air on STO and FSN-SW.
In his most recent outing, Martinez pitched 6.1 innings, giving up three runs (one unearned), striking out four and walking one in a 7-6 loss to the Royals. Shin-Soo Choo (.248, 13 Rs, 6 HRs, 17 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 5 with two runs, one home run, and one RBI. In his career against the Rangers, Carrasco is 0-1 with an 8.31 ERA. He gets a less-than-stellar Texas offense that’s batting just .237. Jason Kipnis (.340, 24 Rs, 4 HRs, 17 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been doing well, going 3 for 6 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
Texas, a +111 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Cleveland. The matchup currently has a nine-run Over/Under (O/U). The Rangers are 14-18 as the underdog and have an overall money line of -150. The Rangers are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 28 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball.
On the other side, the Indians have a subpar record of 8-13 when they are favored and are -1,212 overall with the money line. The Indians average just 6.5 strikeouts per game, one of the lowest marks in the AL. Switching gears to Cleveland’s pitching staff, they have the fifth-lowest road ERA in the AL at 3.80. The Cleveland pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging an AL-best 9.7 strikeouts per game.
The previous two games have all gone Cleveland’s way. The Rangers will take on a right-hander (Carrasco) in this game and have a 10-13 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Martinez will take the mound against the Indians, who have a 9-12 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – CLE, O/U – Over
Texas recorded at least two errors for the eighth time this season.
When the Rangers play into extra innings, they have a 2-2 record. The Indians are 0-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Indians are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 10 runs. The Rangers have a 0-4 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Indians are 2-16. The Rangers have a 3-17 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 17th in home runs, Cleveland has hit 33 this season. Texas ranks 10th with 36 home runs.
Ranking 11th, Texas is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.94 per game. Cleveland ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.53.
Ranking 22nd, Texas is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.696). Cleveland ranks in the top half at 11th with an OPS of .733.
When the Indians allow at least one home run, they are 11-16. When the Rangers allow one or more homers, they have a 6-18 record.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.