The No.1-seeded Richmond Spiders (19-12) square off against the No.5-seeded Arizona State Sun Devils (17-15) in the second round of the NIT tournament at Robins Center. The game starts at 7:30 pm ET on Sunday, Mar. 22 and will air on ESPN U.
The Spiders beat St. Francis (NY) 84-74 in the first round. Kendall Anthony had 15 points, 11 rebounds, and two steals for Richmond. The Sun Devils, meanwhile, are coming off a 68-61 win over Connecticut in the first round. Shaquielle McKissic shot 6-for-13 and led in scoring with 21 points.
The Spiders should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. They rank 15th in the nation at avoiding errors (TO% of 15.8%). Meanwhile, Arizona State forces the 64th-fewest turnovers in the nation (32.2%).
Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is presently unavailable. The Spiders enter the game with records of 20-13 Straight Up (SU) and 14-15-1 Against The Spread (ATS). Few teams in the nation have a higher assist-to-turnover ratio than Richmond, which ranks 25th at 1.36. Transitioning to the Richmond defense, teams really have to fight for open three-pointers against the Spiders, who have one of the best opponent three-point field goal percentages in the nation at .300.
On the other side, the Sun Devils head into the game with records of 14-18-1 ATS and 18-15 SU. Most recently, Arizona State is a meager 3-7 ATS over the last 10 games. Arizona State is one of the top foul-shooting teams in the nation, converting 15.4 shots from the line per game.
Richmond and Arizona State will be facing off in their first head-to-head clash of the season. When they last met the Spiders were winners, moving their SU record against Arizona State to 1-0. Additionally, with a 1-0 record, Richmond has the advantage ATS.
Predictions: SU Winner – RICH, ATS Winner – RICH
Arizona State is 5-11-3 ATS in its last 19 games on the road.
Arizona State is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona State’s last 10 games on the road.
Richmond is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home.
The Arizona State Sun Devils have a defensive rating of 165.1 (ranked 66th), while the Richmond Spiders have an offensive rating of 104.5 (ranked 131st).
Richmond has an average field goal percentage of 45.3%. Arizona State is a losing 5-11 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
The Richmond Spiders and the Arizona State Sun Devils both rank higher in average effective field goal percentage when compared to their field goal percentages. Richmond is 86th and 75th in the nation for FG% and eFG% respectively, while Arizona State is 116th and 101st in these categories.
The Richmond Spiders rank 25th with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.36, while the Arizona State Sun Devils rank outside the top 100 (224th) with an A/TO of .93.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.