Free MLB Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies

Zack Greinke (5-0, 1.52 ERA) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (23-12) go up against Jorge De La Rosa (0-2, 9.56 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (12-20) in the third of a four-game division series at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers won the last game 6-4 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 9:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 16 and will air on ROOT-RM and SportsNet LA.

rockies dodgers mlb picksGreinke has a 3.57 ERA and a 7-2 record in his career against the Rockies, and is up against a strong Colorado offense that’s hitting .267 on the year. Andre Ethier (.330, 19 Rs, 5 HRs, 14 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. In his career against the Dodgers, De La Rosa is 5-10 with a 5.89 ERA. He meets a solid Los Angeles offense that’s batting .272. Charlie Blackmon (.298, 15 Rs, 5 HRs, 14 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been doing well, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run and one stolen base.

Los Angeles is a considerable -240 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is seven runs. The Dodgers have a winning record of 20-11 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +426. They have performed well against their division to earn an SU record of 15-9 and a 15-8 record when they were the favorite. The Dodgers come into the game with the top-ranked scoring offense in the NL, averaging 5.2 runs per game. The Dodgers rank fifth in the NL in hits with 8.9 per game. The Dodgers typically don’t swing at bad pitches, which has led to an NL-high 4.0 walks per game. Turning to the pitching and defensive side, the Los Angeles pitching staff and defense is very good at home, only giving up 2.9 runs per game. The Dodgers are fifth in the league in WHIP at 1.17. An area where the Dodgers are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average an NL-best 8.8 K’s per game.

On the other side, the Rockies have a record of 9-12 when they are the underdog and are -615 overall with the money line. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-7 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 1-9. Playing against NL West foes really brings the worst out of the Colorado pitchers. They allow 6.2 runs per game against teams within their division, which is higher than their season average of 5.5.

The Dodgers have gotten the best of the Rockies in head-to-head matchups this season, going 6-1. Taking the hill against the Rockies will be the right-hander Greinke. They sport a 10-14 record against righties.

Predictions: SU Winner – LAD, O/U – Over

Notes

The Dodgers hold a 16-9 record against the NL West Division this season, while the Rockies have an 8-16 record against the division.

When the Dodgers play into extra innings, they have a 2-2 record. The Rockies are 1-3 when their games exceed nine innings.

The Rockies managed to give up five walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Dodgers who are heading in with a 12-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.

When they outhit their opponents, the Rockies are 10-4. The Dodgers have an 18-3 record when outhitting opponents.

Ranking 27th, Colorado sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 125 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top five at third with 184.

Los Angeles ranks at the top of the league when it comes to walks with 143 this season. Colorado ranks at the bottom with 65.

The Dodgers are 20-8 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Rockies are 9-9 when they hit at least one homer.

Aaron Ryan

Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.