Matt Shoemaker (2-3, 6.61 ERA) and the Los Angeles Angels (18-17) are in Baltimore to go up against Bud Norris (1-4, 9.88 ERA) and the Orioles (15-18) in a game that could have plenty of offense. This is the second of a three-game series at Camden Yards. The Angels won the last game 3-1 and Los Angeles leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 16 and will air on FSN-W and MASN.
Norris is 4-0 with a 0.43 ERA against the Angels in his career, and is up against a less-than-stellar Los Angeles offense that’s hitting just .231 on the year. Adam Jones (.341, 18 Rs, 6 HRs, 23 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4. In his pitching opportunities against the Orioles, Shoemaker is 0-1 with a 6.35 ERA, 10 strikeouts and zero walks. Mike Trout (.288, 27 Rs, 9 HRs, 19 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Baltimore is favored by a slight -113 margin in its matchup against Los Angeles. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at nine runs. The Orioles are in an interesting position this season. While they have a notable winning record in games where they’re the favorite (10-6), their overall money line (-205) is less impressive. They are 3-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. Baltimore has been struggling as of late. In the last 10 games, Baltimore has only averaged 3.5 runs per game compared to the 4.7 they’ve averaged on the season. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Orioles don’t give up many hits to opposing batters, ranking second in the AL with only 7.6 hits allowed per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Angels come into this game with a weak win percentage of .364 when playing as the underdog (4-7) and an overall money line of -205. Over the last 10 games, they were winless as the underdog with a 0-2 record and 6-4 SU. They have a WHIP of 1.16, fourth best in the MLB.
The only other game between the two teams went Los Angeles’s way. The Orioles will take on a right-hander (Shoemaker) in this game and have a 13-14 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Norris will take the mound against the Angels, who have an 11-14 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – BAL, O/U – Under
Baltimore has won 45% (5-6) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Los Angeles has won 57% (8-6) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Orioles are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Angels have an 8-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 0-10. The Angels have a 5-11 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 21st in home runs, Los Angeles has hit 28 this season. Baltimore ranks fourth with 43 home runs.
Ranking 15th, Los Angeles is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.47 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.91.
Ranking 29th, Los Angeles is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.639). Baltimore ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .759.
The Angels are 7-15 when they allow at least one home run. The Orioles perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 7-13 record.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.