The Milwaukee Bucks (41-41) will be at home when they play the Chicago Bulls (50-32) in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals. The game starts at 5:30 pm ET on Saturday, Apr. 25 and will air on TNT, CSN-CHI and FSN-WI.
The Bulls won Game 3 with a 113-106 double overtime victory to take a 3-0 series lead. Derrick Rose scored 34 points for the Bulls in the win.
Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is presently unavailable. The Bucks look to improve upon their records of 41-41 Straight Up (SU) and 45-35-2 Against The Spread (ATS). They have gone 7-9 SU and 10-5-1 ATS against teams from their own division. Teams have to fight for open shots against the Bucks, who have one of the best opponent field-goal percentages in the league at .437. The Bucks are the top team in the league at taking the ball away from their opponents, averaging 9.6 steals per game. If its opponents turn the ball over, Milwaukee has shown that it knows how to capitalize. They average 19.2 points off turnovers, making them the third-best team in the league for that category.
On the other side, Chicago has a SU record of 50-32 and an ATS record of 39-43. In divisional games, Chicago has gone 8-8 SU and 7-9 ATS. Chicago is one of the top foul-shooting teams in the league, hitting 19.7 shots from the line per game. Chicago is one of the better rebounding teams in the NBA. The Bulls average 45.7 rebounds per game, making them the third-best team in the league for that category. Shifting to the other side of the court, teams don’t seem to hit many three-pointers against the Bulls, who are third in the league in terms of three-point field goals allowed at 538 this season. They average 5.8 blocks per game, good for fifth in the league. Chicago may be taking trips to the free throw line early and often with the Bucks averaging 22.1 fouls per game, one of the highest marks in the NBA.
Chicago won the last meeting this season between these two teams, moving its SU record against the Bucks to 8-2 in their last 10 head-to-head meetings. Additionally, with a 7-3 record, the Bulls have the advantage ATS. Milwaukee and Chicago each held the edge in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) twice in their last 10 meetings.
Predictions: SU Winner – CHI, ATS Winner – CHI
Chicago is an even 8-8 SU against the division, while Milwaukee is 7-9 SU.
The Chicago Bulls have a fantastic 35-11 record when their opponents score fewer than 100 points this season. The Milwaukee Bucks are 22-26 when they score less than 100.
Chicago has a 15-21 record when allowing at least 100 points. Milwaukee has a 19-15 record when it hits triple digits.
The Bucks have a defensive rating of 99.7, fourth-best in the NBA. The Bulls also rank in the top half of the league for their offensive rating of 104.5 (ranked 11th).
Ranked seventh in the NBA, Milwaukee has an average field goal percentage of 45.9%. Chicago is 12-18 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
Milwaukee averages 18.3 three point attempts per game, and Chicago attempts 22.3 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Bucks have a winning 4-1 record while the Bulls have a 13-16 record.
Milwaukee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.48 this season (ranked 22nd). Chicago ranks higher with an A/TO of 1.65 (ranked 15th).
With 45.7 per game, Chicago ranks near the top of the NBA for rebounds at third. Milwaukee ranks 24th with 42.1.
The Chicago Bulls rank sixth in offensive rebounding, while the Milwaukee Bucks rank 25th in defensive rebounding.
On average, the Bucks force a turnover rate of 17.0%, ranked first in the NBA. When the Bulls turn over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a winning 10-6 record.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.