Jake Arrieta (4-4, 2.77 ERA) takes the hill for the Chicago Cubs (23-18) as they square off against Rubby De La Rosa (4-2, 4.08 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (20-21) in the second of a three-game series at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks won the last game 5-4, continuing a five-game winning streak. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 23 and can be seen on CSN-CHI, FSN-AZ and MLB Net.
De La Rosa pitched 9.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs and striking out five in a 3-2 defeat to the Marlins. Paul Goldschmidt (.331, 31 Rs, 11 HRs, 35 RBIs, 8 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 3 for 5 with one run, one home run, three RBIs, and two stolen bases. Against the Diamondbacks, Arrieta is 0-1 with a 4.05 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and eight strikeouts. Anthony Rizzo (.320, 26 Rs, 8 HRs, 23 RBIs, 9 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday.
Chicago takes on Arizona as a -126 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Diamondbacks have an overall money line of +two and a record as the underdog of 13-14. Arizona has gone 5-2 in its last 10 as underdog. The Diamondbacks have no trouble scoring as they rank second in the NL in home offense with 5.0 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits at home with an impressive 9.2 per game. Arizona is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 40 bases.
As for their opponent, Chicago is coming in with an overall money line of +397 and an impressive record of 14-9 as the favorite. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 7-1 record, and an 8-2 record SU. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is third in the NL. The Cubs are an excellent base stealing team with 40 stolen bases, ranking third in the MLB. The Cubs allow 4.2 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 3.0 runs per game during that span. The Cubs have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.4 strikeouts per road game.
The Diamondbacks have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Diamondbacks have a 15-16 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Arrieta takes the mound. De La Rosa (RHP) will be on the hill against the Cubs, who have a 19-14 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – CHC, O/U – Over
Chi Cubs 8-2-1 SU in their last 11 games.
Chi Cubs are 2-3-1 SU in their last 6 games, on the road.
Chi Cubs are 0-4-1 SU in their last 5 games, when playing Arizona.
Chi Cubs are 0-4-1 SU in their last 5 games, when playing on the road against Arizona.
The Cubs lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Diamondbacks are 7-7. The Cubs are 12-8 in close games this season.
The Cubs are 5-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks are 4-2 in such matchups.
The Cubs managed to give up five walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Diamondbacks who are heading in with a 5-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 14-4. The Cubs have a 12-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 17th in runs, Chicago has earned 173 this season. Arizona ranks fourth with 194 runs.
Ranking 18th, Arizona is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 118 this season. Chicago ranks in the top five at third with 152.
When the Diamondbacks hit at least one home run, they are 15-6, well-matched with the Cubs who are 16-7 when hitting one or more homers.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.