MLB Betting Picks: Minnesota Twins vs. Oakland Athletics

twins athletics mlb picksIn the third of a four-game series between the Minnesota Twins (14-13) and the Oakland Athletics (14-13) at Target Field, Kyle Gibson (2-2, 3.56 ERA) and Scott Kazmir (2-0, 1.62 ERA) get the start. The Athletics won the last game 2-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 6 and will air on CSN-CA and FSN-N.

In his most recent outing, Gibson pitched 8.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out four and walking one in a 1-0 victory over the White Sox. Brian Dozier (.248, 18 Rs, 2 HRs, 14 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI. In his career against the Twins, Kazmir is 7-4 with a 3.42 ERA. He gets a strong Minnesota offense that’s batting .257.

Minnesota is a +108 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. When playing as the underdog, the Twins have an 11-10 record and overall money line at +472. They are 5-1 as the underdog over their last 10 games. Minnesota has averaged 6.5 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.3. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Twins are second in the AL in walks allowed at home with just 2.4 per game.

Switching to the opposing bench, the Athletics come into this game with a weak win percentage of 6-11 when playing as the favorite (.353) and an overall money line of -781. Oakland is one of the top hitting teams in the AL with an average of 9.4 hits per contest. Opposing pitchers have routinely struggled to strike out the Oakland batters, who rank second in the AL with 6.2 strikeouts per game. Oakland’s pitching staff has allowed an average of 5.7 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 4.5.

The Twins will take on a left-hander (Kazmir) in this game and have a 7-5 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Athletics will be the right-hander Gibson. They sport a 10-12 record against righties.

Predictions: SU Winner – OAK, O/U – Over

Notes

The Athletics won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Twins are 4-4. The Athletics are 1-7 in close games this season.

The Twins are 2-0 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Athletics are 0-4 in such matchups.

The Athletics are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Twins have a 3-8 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.

When they outhit their opponents, the Athletics are 10-3. The Twins have an 11-0 record when outhitting opponents.

Ranking 14th, Minnesota is in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 114 this season. Oakland ranks in the top five at second with 140.

Ranking 21st, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 68 this season. Oakland ranks in the top half at 15th with 82.

The Twins are 10-3 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Athletics are 9-6 when they hit at least one homer.

Aaron Ryan

Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.