MLB Odds: Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds

braves reds mlb picksJohnny Cueto (2-2, 1.95 ERA) is on the hill for the Cincinnati Reds (12-12) as they square off against Julio Teheran (2-1, 4.67 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (11-13) in the last of a four-game series at Turner Field. The Reds won the last game 8-4 and Cincinnati leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 3 and can be seen on FSN-OH and FSN-S.

Teheran is 1-1 with a 2.33 ERA in his appearances against the Reds, and goes up against a below-average Cincinnati offense which is batting just .229 this season. Kelly Johnson (.250, 9 Rs, 4 HRs, 11 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. Against the Braves, Cueto is 1-2 with a 3.29 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and 33 strikeouts. Joey Votto (.322, 15 Rs, 7 HRs, 17 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run.

Cincinnati takes on Atlanta as a -121 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Braves have an overall money line of +79 and a record as the underdog of 8-9. Atlanta has recorded a disappointing 2-5 record as the underdog over its last 10 games.

Over in the other dugout, in contrast to a worrisome overall money line (-92), Cincinnati has an impressive 6-4 record when playing as the favorite. The Reds are an excellent base stealing team with 29 stolen bases, ranking second in the MLB.

The Reds lead the season series, 2-1. The Braves have a 9-11 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Cueto takes the mound. Teheran (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 10-9 record against right-handed starting pitchers.

Predictions: SU Winner – CIN, O/U – Over

Notes

Atlanta has won 33% (5-10) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Cincinnati has won 56% (5-4) of its games when taking a late lead.

The Braves are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Reds have a 3-6 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.

When they are outhit, the Braves are 2-9. The Reds have a 4-7 record when opponents outhit them.

Atlanta ranks in the top half of the league at 15th when it comes to home runs, hitting 19 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top five at third with 34.

Ranking 13th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.57 per game. Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.13.

Ranking 16th, Cincinnati is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.696). Atlanta ranks in the top half at 15th with an OPS of .697.

The Reds are 8-11 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Braves are 3-9 when they allow at least one homer.

Aaron Ryan

Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.