MLB Wagering: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals

diamondbacks nationals mlb picksIn the last of a three-game series between the Arizona Diamondbacks (15-17) and the Washington Nationals (15-17) at Chase Field, Jeremy Hellickson (1-3, 5.85 ERA) and Gio Gonzalez (3-2, 3.62 ERA) take the mound. The Diamondbacks won the last game 14-6 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 3:40 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 13 and will air on MASN, FSN-AZ and MLB Net.

In his most recent outing, Hellickson pitched 4.2 innings, allowing five runs, striking out three and walking two in a 6-5 loss to the Padres. David Peralta (.287, 14 Rs, 4 HRs, 14 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 5 with one run. In his pitching opportunities against the Diamondbacks, Gonzalez is 2-0 with a 1.33 ERA. He gets a strong Arizona offense that’s batting .266. Bryce Harper (.308, 29 Rs, 12 HRs, 31 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well for the Nationals, going 2 for 3 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.

Arizona, a +137 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Washington. The matchup currently has an eight-run Over/Under (O/U). The Diamondbacks perform poorly as an underdog with an 8-13 record and have an overall money line of -139. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the underdog (2-5). The Diamondbacks have one of the most prolific home offenses in the entire NL, averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are a stellar hitting team with 9.1 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the NL. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking fifth in all of baseball with 27 steals.

Switching to the opposing bench, the Nationals come into this game with a win percentage of .577 when playing as the favorite (15-11) and an overall money line of -117. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 7-1 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 8-2. They sport the second-ranked offense in the NL, averaging four runs per game. The Nationals are known for their bats, hitting 102 extra base hits. Washington’s pitching staff has allowed an average of 2.8 runs per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 4.1.

This game will feature Gonzalez (LHP) on the mound against the Diamondbacks, who have a 4-4 record when they take on a left-handed starter. The right-handed Hellickson will take the mound against the Nationals, who have a 12-13 record against righty starters this season.

Predictions: SU Winner – WSH, O/U – Over

Notes

When leading after 7 innings, Arizona is 8-4, while Washington is 10-7.

The Arizona batters brought in a solid 16 hits last game. Washington has a record of 1-1 when their opponents get that many hits or more.

When they are outhit, the Diamondbacks are 3-13. The Nationals have a 4-15 record when opponents outhit them.

Arizona ranks in the top half of the league at 12th when it comes to home runs, hitting 31 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 35.

Ranking eighth, Washington is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.64 per game. Arizona ranks in the top five at third with 9.13.

Arizona and Washington both rank in the top 10 of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Arizona sits at ninth with an OPS of .737 and Washington ranks 10th with an OPS of .733.

The Nationals are 5-7 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Diamondbacks are 7-13 when they allow at least one homer.

Aaron Ryan

Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.