NCAA Football Betting Preview
No. 11 Oregon Ducks (8-2) at Arizona Wildcats (6-3)
Saturday November 21st, 8:00PM Eastern
Betus.com betting line – Oregon -6.5
The Arizona Wildcats are amongst 4 different teams who have a legitimate shot to win or have a share of the Pac-10 Championship this season thanks to at least 3 losses from both USC and California. However, the Oregon Ducks have appeared to be the strongest team in the conference over the latter part of the season. The Ducks stand at 6-1 with just a loss to Stanford in the conference. Oregon controls their own destiny and likely the favorites to end the year on top of the Pac-10. However, the Ducks will get a tough road test this Saturday when the meet up with the Wildcats Saturday night. Arizona is coming off a 24-16 loss to California, but they also undefeated on the home turf this season.
Oregon will enter the contest around a touchdown favorite, but they have lost the last 2 out of 3 against the Wildcats. Running back LaMichael James is the major reason for the Ducks success this season. James is a freshman that is putting up ridiculous numbers with 1,193 yards and 11 touchdowns on the season. James has rushed for over 100 yards in 5 straight games including 150 last week against Arizona State. James has also rushed for more than 100 yards in 7 of the last 8 games as well. QB Jeremiah Masoli has come on strong adding to the lethal ground attack. Masoli has proved to be damaging with his legs averaging 6 yards per carry with 558 total yards on the year. Those two stellar backs have led Oregon to the nation’s 6th ranked rushing offense averaging 237 yards per game.
Of course Masoli can throw the football as well as he has completed 59% with 11 touchdowns and 3 picks on the year. Wide outs Ed Dickson and Jeff Maehl are proven talents. Both players have at least 30 catches and over 400 yards a piece. The passing game has proven to bust out some big plays when defenses get caught up in stopping the run. The Oregon offense is responsible for posting 37 points per game this season as one of the most potent scoring machines in America. There has not been anyone in the Pac-10 that has been able to stop their offense, but Stanford did outscore them. The question is can Arizona do the same?
The Wildcats defense has been stellar against the run giving some hope to their cause. Arizona is just allowing 104 yards per game on the ground and they own one of the better defensive lines in the conference. In fact, the defensive line knows how to get tremendous pressure on opposing quarterbacks as well. The Wildcats defense is averaging just less than 3 sacks per game on the season and they will be responsible for getting some quick penetration into the Oregon backfield.
On offense, the Wildcats have scored 30 points per contest on the year. QB Nick Foles is completing a stout 70% on the season and has recorded 13 touchdowns with 6 picks. Running backs Nic Grigsby and Keola Antolin have done good things on the ground this season. Despite not putting up any spectacular numbers, both running backs have combined for 900 yards and 8 scores. Oregon has had troubles stopping the run this year especially in their two losses. If Arizona can establish the ground game early, it will really help them in the long haul. Of course they will need a couple of big plays because Oregon is going to score some points.
Pick – Oregon -6.5