Lance Lynn (3-4, 3.46 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals (30-16) go up against Josh Collmenter (3-5, 5.19 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (21-24) in the last of a three-game series at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals won the last game 6-4 and St. Louis leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 8:15 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 27 and will air on FSN-AZ and FSN-MW.
Lynn has a 2.61 ERA and a 2-0 record in his career against the Diamondbacks, but faces a solid Arizona offense that’s hitting .265 on the year. Jhonny Peralta (.308, 23 Rs, 7 HRs, 25 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and two RBIs. In his pitching opportunities against the Cardinals, Collmenter is 2-1 with a 0.96 ERA. He meets a strong St. Louis offense that’s batting .268. A.J. Pollock (.315, 32 Rs, 4 HRs, 16 RBIs, 10 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs.
St. Louis, a -162 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Arizona. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. The Cardinals perform well as a favorite with a 23-7 record and have an overall money line of +1,142. They are 4-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The Cardinals come into the game with the fifth-ranked scoring offense in the NL, averaging 4.3 runs per game. The Cardinals are a stellar hitting team with 9.3 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the NL.
Switching gears, the Diamondbacks come into this game with a win percentage of .484 when playing as the underdog (15-16) and an overall money line of +29. They have played at the top of their game when rated as the underdog as of late. They managed a 6-2 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 6-4. Arizona is one of the top road hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.8 hits per contest. Arizona is a terror on the base paths, ranking fourth in the MLB with 41 stolen bases.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 2-0 against the Diamondbacks. This game will feature Collmenter (RHP) on the mound against the Cardinals, who have a 14-2 home and 24-11 overall record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Diamondbacks will be the right-hander Lynn. They sport a 16-18 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – STL, O/U – Over
St. Louis recorded at least two errors for the seventh time this season.
The Cardinals are 5-3 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks are 4-3 in such matchups.
The Diamondbacks are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded nine strikeouts. The Cardinals have a record of 12-6 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Diamondbacks are 4-17. The Cardinals have a 7-10 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 22nd in home runs, St. Louis has hit 37 this season. Arizona ranks 17th with 40 home runs.
St. Louis and Arizona both rank in the top five of the league in hits. St. Louis sits at third with 9.33 hits per game and Arizona ranks second with 9.43.
Ranking 12th, Arizona is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.722). St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at seventh with an OPS of .736.
When the Diamondbacks allow at least one home run, they are 11-19. When the Cardinals allow one or more homers, they have a 12-11 record.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.