Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick & Preview

nationals braves mlb picksDoug Fister (2-1, 2.61 ERA) and the Washington Nationals (15-15) meet Julio Teheran (3-1, 3.82 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (14-15) in the second of a three-game division series at Nationals Park. The Nationals won the last game 9-2 and Washington leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 4:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 9 and will air on FSN-S, MASN2 and FS1.

Fister has a 2.28 ERA and a 3-1 record in his career against the Braves, but faces a strong Atlanta offense that’s hitting .256 on the year. Bryce Harper (.284, 23 Rs, 10 HRs, 25 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 4 with two runs, two home runs, and five RBIs. In his career against the Nationals, Teheran is 3-2 with a 3.23 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, and 50 strikeouts. Freddie Freeman (.324, 20 Rs, 5 HRs, 18 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well for the Braves, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.

Washington, a -157 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Atlanta. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Nationals have an 11-11 record and overall money line at -517. They are 5-2 as the favorite over their last 10 games. Washington has averaged 5.4 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.1. The Nationals typically don’t swing at bad pitches, which has led to an impressive 3.3 walks per game.

On the other side, the Braves have a record of 9-10 when they are the underdog and are +164 overall with the money line. Against divisional foes, they are 10-11 SU and 5-7 as the underdog. Atlanta has been playing better lately, averaging 5.6 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.5. Opposing pitchers have routinely struggled to strike out the Atlanta batters, who average an NL-low 6.2 strikeouts per game. The Braves are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.40 ERA on the road this season. They also average just 7.5 hits allowed per road game, third-best in the NL.

In their previous four games this season, the Nationals have a 3-1 record. This game will feature Teheran (RHP) on the mound against the Nationals, who have a 10-13 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Fister will take the mound against the Braves, who have a 12-13 record against righty starters this season.

Predictions: SU Winner – WSH, O/U – Over

Notes

The Nationals hold a 13-11 record this season against teams in the NL East Division. The Braves’ record in these matchups is 10-12.

When the Nationals play into extra innings, they have a 2-1 record. The Braves are 0-1 when their games exceed nine innings.

The Braves are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Nationals have a 3-6 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.

When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 10-4. The Nationals have an 11-1 record when outhitting opponents.

Washington and Atlanta both rank in the top half of the league in runs. Washington sits at 11th with 128 runs this season and Atlanta ranks 14th with 127.

Washington and Atlanta both rank in the top 10 of the league in walks. Washington sits at seventh with 98 this season and Atlanta ranks eighth with 95.

The Nationals are 11-6 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Braves are 10-7 when they hit at least one homer.

Aaron Ryan

Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.